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Sampdoria
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Venezia
Prediction published on Mar 12, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Mar 12, 2026 8:02 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Sampdoria and Venezia promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides at opposite ends of the table. The visitors are leading the league and appear to be in unstoppable form, while the hosts are struggling to find consistency and remain dangerously close to the relegation zone. With the season entering its decisive phase, every point counts, but the difference in momentum between these teams could make this fixture a one-sided affair.
Sampdoria enter this match in a difficult situation, sitting 15th in the Serie B standings with only 30 points. Their recent performances have been far from convincing, with just one win in their last five matches. The team’s offensive struggles are evident, averaging only 0.6 goals scored per game in that period, while conceding 1.6 goals on average. Their most recent outing ended in a heavy 3-0 defeat against Frosinone on March 8, underlining the defensive issues that have plagued them all season.
Across the campaign, Sampdoria’s record stands at 7 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. One notable trend is their low-scoring first halves: Under 1.5 goals have been recorded before the break in each of their last 11 league games. This suggests a cautious approach early on, but also a lack of attacking spark. The home crowd at Marassi will hope for a reaction, yet the team’s recent form offers little optimism against the league leaders.
Venezia arrive in Genoa full of confidence and determination to extend their lead at the top of Serie B. The league leaders have been in exceptional shape, collecting eight wins in their last ten matches and remaining unbeaten in their last five. Their most recent victory, a 2-0 win over Reggiana on March 7, further confirmed their dominance. Over the last five games, Venezia have averaged 2.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, a balance that highlights both their attacking power and defensive solidity.
Throughout the season, Venezia’s record of 19 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses speaks volumes about their consistency. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per match while conceding less than one. Their attacking rhythm is relentless: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 11 Serie B matches, and they have found the net in 23 of their last 24 games. Away from home, they are equally impressive, scoring in every one of their last 12 away fixtures and often taking control after the break — Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 11 consecutive away matches.
Venezia’s ability to dominate both halves of the game is reflected in their statistics: they have not trailed at half time in 26 of their last 29 league matches and have led at the break in 9 of their last 13. These numbers underline a team that starts strong and maintains control throughout, a key factor in their current position at the top of the table.
The recent history between these two sides also favors Venezia. In their last five meetings, the visitors have won three times, drawn once, and lost only once, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game compared to Sampdoria’s 1.6. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Venezia back in November 2025, a result that showcased their superiority in both creativity and finishing.
From a tactical perspective, the contrast between the teams is stark. Sampdoria have struggled to find rhythm and confidence, particularly in attack, while Venezia’s fluid offensive play and compact defense have made them the most balanced side in the division. The hosts will likely try to stay compact and hit on the counter, but given their current form, it will be difficult to contain a Venezia side that thrives on possession and quick transitions. The visitors’ consistency in scoring after half time could again prove decisive.
All indicators point toward another strong performance from Venezia. Their momentum, scoring efficiency, and defensive reliability make them clear favorites. Sampdoria, on the other hand, are in a downward spiral and have shown little sign of improvement despite recent managerial changes. Even the support of their home fans may not be enough to stop the league leaders from extending their winning run.
According to the latest probabilities, Venezia have a 42% chance of winning, compared to 31% for Sampdoria and 27% for a draw. The goal markets suggest a balanced contest in terms of scoring potential, with Over 2.5 goals at 46% and Under 2.5 goals slightly more likely at 54%. Both Teams To Score is evenly split at 50%.
Sampdoria vs Venezia prediction by BetMines:
Venezia win (2) with 42% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sampdoria
Venezia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
10
0