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Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 4:35 AM by Dario in Turkey - Super Lig | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 4:35 AM
Samsunspor host Amed SK in the Turkish Super Lig on Saturday, October 24, with kick-off at 16:00 local time at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs. The teams arrive in contrasting form: Samsunspor are 17th after a run of five defeats, while second-placed Amed SK are unbeaten in their last six matches. This will be their first meeting in the top flight. The home side have the better record from four previous encounters, but their recent defensive struggles make this a demanding fixture against visitors who have scored regularly this season.
Samsunspor come into the match after a 4-1 defeat to Kasımpaşa on October 18. They have taken no points from their last five games, scoring an average of 0.4 goals and conceding 2.8 per match during that stretch. Their Super Lig record after eight outings stands at one win, one draw and six defeats, with season averages of 0.9 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.
The defensive figures underline the scale of the challenge. Samsunspor have conceded 19 goals in eight league matches, and their recent home results offer little relief: they have lost three consecutive games there while scoring only once. A return home gives them an opportunity to interrupt the losing run, but they will need a marked improvement at both ends of the pitch against a side that has scored 18 times in its first eight Super Lig fixtures.
Starts to matches are another concern for the hosts. There has been at least one first-half goal in each of Samsunspor's last 12 Super Lig games, and they have trailed at half-time in their last six league matches. That sequence includes their last three home fixtures. It does not establish who will score first on Saturday, but it shows that Samsunspor's recent games have rarely reached the interval without a goal.
Newly promoted Amed SK travel to Samsun after a 1-0 win over Konyaspor on October 17. They have won three and drawn two of their last five matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across that period. Their wider six-match unbeaten run includes four victories, giving them momentum before this first top-flight meeting with Samsunspor.
Across eight Super Lig games, Amed SK have recorded five wins, two draws and one defeat. Their season averages are 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, a clear contrast with the hosts' figures. The visitors have also beaten Besiktas during their current unbeaten sequence. Even so, their away record comes with a caution: Amed SK have not won an away match since March and are still seeking their first away victory of the season.
Their matches away from home have consistently featured goals, with more than 1.5 total goals in each of their last 13 away fixtures. At least one second-half goal has also been scored in all 13 of those games, as well as in Amed SK's last 26 matches overall. Those runs describe goals in the matches as a whole, rather than goals scored by Amed SK alone, but they provide useful context for a meeting with a Samsunspor side that has been conceding frequently.
The previous head-to-head record favors Samsunspor, who have two wins, one draw and one defeat from four meetings with Amed SK. Their last encounter was a 3-0 result on February 19, 2020, and Saturday's fixture brings the matchup into the Super Lig for the first time. That history sits alongside a very different picture in current form: Samsunspor have lost five straight games, whereas Amed SK have not lost in six.
Amed SK's scoring record and Samsunspor's goals-against figures suggest the visitors will have chances to challenge the home defense. The away side's wait for a win on the road, however, is a reason not to treat their stronger league position as a guarantee of victory. Samsunspor, for their part, have struggled to score during their five-match losing run, so an improvement in front of goal would be important if they are to turn the fixture around.
The clearest recurring pattern concerns the opening half. Samsunspor's last 12 league matches have all contained a first-half goal, and they have gone into the break behind in six consecutive Super Lig games. With Amed SK arriving in strong scoring form, the early stages are worth particular attention. The hosts will want to avoid another difficult start; the visitors have an opportunity to test a defense that has conceded 2.4 goals per league match this season.
Samsunspor vs Amed SK prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 77% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Samsunspor
Amed SK
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
7
3
7
3