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Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 1:33 PM by Dario in Turkey - Super Lig | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 1:33 PM
Samsunspor host Trabzonspor in the Turkish Super Lig on October 10, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs. The teams arrive with contrasting league records: Samsunspor are 16th after one win in six matches, while seventh-placed Trabzonspor have won three of their six. The home side are trying to halt a run of four consecutive defeats, but the visitors also have a recent setback to put behind them. With both teams’ league matches regularly producing a first-half goal, the opening stages could be important to this Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor preview.
Samsunspor lost 1-0 to Erzurumspor FK on September 20, extending their losing run to four matches. Across their last five games, they have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.8 per match. Their Super Lig record stands at one win, one draw and four losses, with season averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. Those figures show the challenge facing the hosts at both ends of the pitch.
Goals have been particularly hard to find during the losing streak. Samsunspor scored only once across those four defeats and failed to score in three of them. They have six goals from their first six league fixtures, so improving their recent attacking return is a clear priority against Trabzonspor. Even a narrow game may demand more from the home attack than it produced in the defeat to Erzurumspor.
The timing of goals is another concern. Samsunspor have trailed at half-time in each of their last four Super Lig matches, leaving themselves with work to do after the interval. At least one first-half goal has been scored in each of their last ten league games, though that statistic refers to total goals in those matches, not necessarily goals scored by Samsunspor. At home, three of their last 15 matches have finished with under 0.5 total goals. A cautious start cannot be ruled out, but their recent half-time results make avoiding another early deficit especially valuable.
Trabzonspor have the stronger Super Lig start, with three wins, one draw and two defeats from six matches. They average 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per league game. Their last five matches across the supplied results tell a less settled story—two wins and three defeats—although they still averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 allowed during that spell. The attacking output gives them an advantage on paper, but their recent record is not without inconsistency.
That contrast is illustrated by the results described in their recent run. Trabzonspor beat Galatasaray 4-0 and Gençlerbirliği S.K. 5-0, yet they also lost 1-0 to Drogheda United on October 1. Those emphatic victories demonstrate their scoring potential; the subsequent defeat is a reminder that it has not translated into a win every time. Against a Samsunspor side that have conceded an average of two goals per league match, Trabzonspor will be looking to make their stronger season-long attack count.
Their longer-term league goal patterns reinforce the case for chances during the contest. Trabzonspor have scored at least once in 27 of their last 29 Super Lig matches. At least one goal, by either side, has arrived in the second half of 27 of their last 29 league games, while each of their last ten league fixtures has featured a first-half goal. These are match and team scoring trends rather than guarantees for Saturday, but they point to a side whose games rarely stay scoreless throughout either half.
The most recent meeting between the teams ended 0-0 on April 23, 2026, so there is a clear example of this fixture producing few goals. Their five-match head-to-head summary is balanced on results, with one win apiece and three draws. Samsunspor averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded across those meetings. A broader set of seven encounters includes five in which both teams scored, highlighting a different pattern from the latest goalless draw.
For this match, recent league form places more pressure on Samsunspor. They have lost four straight games and have repeatedly gone into half-time behind, while Trabzonspor have the better league record and a substantially higher scoring average. The visitors’ two wins and three defeats in their last five matches, however, make it difficult to treat their season-long advantage as a promise of a straightforward result. Samsunspor’s recent shortage of goals is the biggest question for the hosts, especially if they concede first again.
The first half offers a particularly clear statistical theme. Both teams have seen at least one goal in each of their last ten Super Lig matches before half-time, and Samsunspor’s four consecutive half-time deficits make the opening period more than a minor detail. Whether the goal comes from the hosts finding a response or from Trabzonspor’s stronger attack, the supplied league trends consistently point to an early breakthrough. The goalless last head-to-head provides a cautionary counterpoint, but the repeated first-half pattern for both sides is the strongest shared signal heading into this fixture.
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 80% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
7
3
7
3