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San Carlos
1 - 3
FT
Deportivo Saprissa
Prediction published on Mar 21, 2026 1:16 AM by Dario in Costa Rica - Primera Division | Modified on Mar 21, 2026 1:16 AM
The upcoming clash between San Carlos and Deportivo Saprissa promises to be one of the standout fixtures of the Liga Promerica’s 13th round. Both teams have shown solid performances so far this season, but they arrive at this encounter with different recent results. The hosts, known as the Toros del Norte, sit fifth in the standings with 17 points and are aiming to break into the top four to secure a place in the decisive stage of the competition. Their latest outing ended in disappointment, suffering a 1-0 defeat against Sporting San José. Meanwhile, the visitors, the Morados, remain in third place with 21 points, just two behind the league leaders, and are considered favorites to take all three points in this match.
San Carlos have had a mixed campaign so far, showing moments of competitiveness but struggling to maintain consistency. Their overall record in the Primera Division stands at 8 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. In their last five games, they have managed only one win, alongside two draws and two losses, scoring an average of 0.4 goals while conceding 0.8. Their most recent setback, a 1-0 loss to Sporting San José, underlined their difficulties in front of goal.
At home, San Carlos have been involved in low-scoring encounters, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last 13 home matches in the Primera Division. Another notable trend is that at least one team has failed to score in the second half in each of their last 30 league games, suggesting a pattern of cautious play and limited attacking output after the break. Despite these challenges, the Toros del Norte will look to capitalize on their home advantage and tighten their defense against one of the strongest sides in the competition.
Deportivo Saprissa approach this fixture after a narrow 2-1 defeat against Cartaginés, a result that interrupted their recent positive run. However, their overall form remains strong, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. The Morados have been one of the most consistent teams in the league, boasting a season record of 18 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
One of Saprissa’s key strengths lies in their ability to perform well in the second half of matches. There have been over 0.5 goals in the second half in 35 of their last 39 league fixtures, including 18 of their last 20 away games. This trend highlights their attacking persistence and capacity to find breakthroughs late in games. Moreover, Saprissa have not conceded in their last two visits to San Carlos, a statistic that reinforces their defensive solidity on the road.
The historical record between these two sides heavily favors Deportivo Saprissa. In their last five meetings, Saprissa have won all five, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match while conceding only 0.2. The most recent encounter ended 2-1 in favor of the Morados on February 8, 2026. This dominance suggests a psychological edge for the visitors, who have consistently found ways to overcome San Carlos both home and away.
From a tactical perspective, San Carlos will likely focus on maintaining a compact defensive shape and looking for opportunities on the counterattack. Their low scoring average indicates that they may struggle to create clear chances against a disciplined opponent. On the other hand, Saprissa’s attacking rhythm and second-half efficiency could prove decisive once again. The visitors’ ability to control possession and exploit spaces in the final third might tilt the balance in their favor.
All indicators point toward a challenging evening for the home side. San Carlos’ limited offensive production and tendency to engage in low-scoring matches contrast sharply with Saprissa’s attacking consistency and strong away record. The visitors’ recent dominance in head-to-head encounters further strengthens their position as favorites.
Given the statistical trends and current form, Deportivo Saprissa appear well-positioned to secure another victory. Their ability to score in the second half and maintain defensive discipline could once again prove decisive in this fixture. Meanwhile, San Carlos will need to deliver a near-perfect performance to disrupt Saprissa’s rhythm and end their losing streak in this matchup.
San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa prediction from BetMines: Deportivo Saprissa win (2) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
San Carlos
Deportivo Saprissa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
0
10
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2