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San Carlos
10:00 PM
October 25, 2026
Deportivo Saprissa
Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 10:02 PM by Dario in Costa Rica - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 10:02 PM
San Carlos host Deportivo Saprissa on October 25 as the 13th round of Costa Rica’s Primera Division gets under way. The match is scheduled for 22:00 local time at Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez in Ciudad Quesada. San Carlos enter the fixture in fifth place, while Saprissa lead the standings. The visitors have the stronger league record and recent head-to-head results, but the home side have scored in nine consecutive matches and need a positive result to keep pace with Alajuelense on points. Saprissa also have a Central American Cup playoff return leg against Luis Ángel Firpo to consider in midweek, adding another question to this match preview.
San Carlos come into the game after a 3-3 draw with Sporting San José on October 20. It extended their run without a win to two matches, although their broader recent record remains encouraging: three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five. Across that spell, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their nine-match scoring streak offers further evidence that they can create chances even when results do not go their way.
In the Primera Division this season, San Carlos have recorded six wins, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those figures present a different picture from their last five matches, in which their scoring average has been higher. The 3-3 draw with Sporting San José also underlined the importance of finding a better balance between attack and defence. If San Carlos can keep scoring while conceding less than they did in that latest outing, they will give themselves a stronger chance of challenging the league leaders.
The head-to-head record, however, is a significant obstacle. San Carlos have no wins or draws in their last five meetings with Deportivo Saprissa, losing all five while averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. That history puts their current scoring run in context: finding a goal against Saprissa has been harder for them than scoring in their recent fixtures overall. A home result would require a marked improvement on those previous meetings.
Deportivo Saprissa sit first in the Primera Division with eight wins, no draws and four defeats. Their league averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match point to a greater scoring output than San Carlos have managed across the season. Saprissa have not drawn any of their last 15 Primera Division matches, a notable contrast with their most recent result in another competition: a 0-0 draw against Firpo on October 22.
Over their last five matches, Saprissa have two wins, one draw and two defeats. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded during that period. The defensive average is particularly relevant after San Carlos’ 3-3 draw and their run of nine straight games with a goal. Saprissa’s task is to contain that scoring threat while making use of an attack that has averaged more than two goals per league match this season.
The visitors’ away-game half-time figures offer a more mixed signal. Saprissa have been behind at the interval in their last three Primera Division away matches, yet they have led at half-time in six of their last ten league games overall. Their next Central American Cup commitment against Firpo could also affect how they approach this fixture; changes to the team have been raised as a possibility, but are not confirmed. For now, the clearest guide to their prospects remains their league record and their recent results against San Carlos.
This Primera Division meeting brings together San Carlos’ consistent recent scoring and Saprissa’s stronger season-long attack. The home side have scored in nine straight matches and averaged 1.6 goals across their last five, so their challenge is not simply to end the scoring drought seen in the head-to-head figures. They must also avoid giving Saprissa the opportunities that have contributed to an average of 2.2 goals conceded across the last five meetings.
The most recent head-to-head finished 2-1 on August 2, 2026, and the wider five-match record favours Saprissa throughout. At the same time, San Carlos’ home advantage, their need for points and Saprissa’s midweek commitment make this less straightforward than the standings alone suggest. Saprissa have the stronger case on league position and past meetings, while San Carlos’ recent scoring form gives them a route into the contest. Whether the hosts can pair that attacking consistency with a tighter defensive display may be the central question on October 25.
San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa prediction from BetMines: Draw or Deportivo Saprissa (X2) with 76% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
San Carlos
Deportivo Saprissa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3