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San Diego
12:00 AM
November 8, 2026
Sporting KC
Prediction published on Nov 6, 2026 12:04 AM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Nov 6, 2026 12:04 AM
San Diego host Sporting KC at Snapdragon Stadium on November 8 in the final round of the Major League Soccer regular season. The home side enter the fixture after a 1-0 win at St. Louis City and have avoided defeat in four of their last five matches. Sporting KC drew 1-1 with Dallas in their most recent outing, but that result extended their winless run to seven games. San Diego are 13th in the supplied MLS ranking, two places above their visitors, and have not lost any of their three previous meetings with Sporting KC. Those records give this San Diego vs Sporting KC match preview a clear starting point, although San Diego’s own season figures show that a home victory cannot be taken for granted.
San Diego have recorded one win, three draws and one defeat across their last five matches. The win came on October 31, when they beat St. Louis City 1-0 away from home. That result offered a contrast to their broader recent scoring figures: San Diego have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match over those five games. They have therefore been difficult to beat lately without consistently keeping opponents out.
Across the MLS season, San Diego’s record stands at nine wins, 11 draws and 13 defeats. Their averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game underline the importance of converting chances when they arise. The home scoring trend is more encouraging: San Diego have found the net in 19 of their last 20 MLS home matches. There has also been at least one second-half goal, counting both teams, in each of their last 12 home league fixtures. That does not guarantee another goal after the break, but it shows how regularly those matches have featured second-half scoring.
The draw-heavy stretch in San Diego’s last five results is relevant to this fixture. Three of those games ended level, so their recent unbeaten record does not tell the whole story. Still, their latest win and long-running home scoring sequence provide a firmer basis for confidence against a visiting team that has conceded frequently.
Sporting KC arrive after a 1-1 draw with Dallas on October 31. They have taken just one draw from their last five matches, losing the other four, and have not won in seven consecutive games. Over the most recent five, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per match. That gap between goals for and against helps explain why the Dallas draw has not substantially changed the picture of their recent form.
The visitors’ season record is six wins, five draws and 22 defeats in MLS, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Keeping a clean sheet has been especially difficult: Sporting KC have conceded at least once in 32 of their last 33 league matches. They have also gone 19 MLS away matches without a draw, while each of those 19 away fixtures has featured more than 1.5 total goals. These are match-goal figures, not a claim that Sporting KC scored twice in each game.
Sporting KC have trailed at half-time in 13 of their last 19 MLS away matches. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 21 of their last 23 league games, again counting goals by either side. Taken together, the away and defensive records suggest that Sporting KC may need to respond to pressure at different stages of this match. Their immediate challenge is to improve on a five-game spell in which they have scored less than once per match on average.
The recent meetings favour San Diego: their three-match head-to-head record against Sporting KC is two wins and one draw, with no defeats. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.0 conceded across those games. The latest meeting ended 0-1 on March 8, 2026. That history is only one part of the assessment, but it aligns with the difference in the teams’ current runs: San Diego have lost once in five matches, whereas Sporting KC have lost four times over the same span.
There is a case for goals in this MLS fixture. San Diego’s strong home scoring record meets a Sporting KC defence that has conceded in all but one of its last 33 league games. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of Sporting KC’s last 30 MLS matches. At the same time, the previous meetings have been much tighter than those broader scoring trends: San Diego have conceded no goals across the three recorded head-to-head games. Neither pattern should be treated as a guarantee of how this encounter will unfold.
For the result, San Diego’s home scoring consistency, the October 31 win and their unbeaten head-to-head record make them the more convincing side on the supplied evidence. Their three recent draws and season tally of 13 defeats remain reasons for caution. Sporting KC’s seven-match winless run and frequent concessions, however, leave the visitors with more to reverse as the regular season closes.
San Diego vs Sporting KC prediction from BetMines: San Diego win (1) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
San Diego
Sporting KC
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
1
9
2
8
3.5
1
9
4
6
4.5
4
6
8
2