The upcoming fixture in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol will see San Lorenzo host Defensa y Justicia at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain as part of matchday 11 of the Torneo Apertura. The game is scheduled for Monday at 15:30 (CDMX time) and promises to be a tight contest between two sides that have made consistency their main strength, even if victories have been hard to come by. Both teams are currently fighting for a place in the playoff zone, separated by just one position in the standings.

San Lorenzo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

San Lorenzo come into this match after three consecutive draws, against Boca Juniors, Talleres, and Instituto. These results have slowed their progress, leaving them in 9th place in the table. However, the team remains unbeaten in their last five matches, with one win and four draws, showing defensive solidity and resilience. In their last outing, they drew 1-1 with Boca Juniors on March 11, maintaining their streak of avoiding defeat.

Across the season, San Lorenzo’s record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Their matches tend to be low-scoring affairs, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in 39 of their last 40 games, and Under 2.5 goals in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. The first halves are often tight, with Under 1.5 goals at half time in 19 of their last 20 home matches. This pattern highlights a cautious approach and a strong defensive base that makes them difficult to break down at home.

• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 0.8 | Average conceded: 0.4.


• Under 3.5 goals in 36 of their last 37 league matches.


• At least one team failed to score at half time in 20 consecutive home games.

Despite their solid defense, San Lorenzo’s main challenge remains turning draws into wins. Their home form is reliable but not dominant, and they will need to find more attacking efficiency to climb back into the top eight.

Defensa y Justicia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Defensa y Justicia arrive at this match as one of only two unbeaten teams in the competition. They currently sit 8th in the standings, just ahead of their hosts, with a record of 2 wins and 7 draws. Their last five matches have all ended in draws, including a 1-1 result against Central Córdoba SdE on March 12. While their unbeaten run is impressive, the high number of draws has limited their points total.

Statistically, Defensa y Justicia average 0.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, mirroring San Lorenzo’s numbers. They have also been involved in low-scoring matches, with Under 3.5 goals in 27 of their last 29 games. Away from home, they have shown resilience, winning both of their victories this season on the road, against Newell’s Old Boys and Deportivo Riestra. Moreover, they have not lost at San Lorenzo’s ground since 2021, a record that will boost their confidence heading into this encounter.

• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 5 draws, 0 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 0.8 | Average conceded: 0.8.


• Under 3.5 goals in 27 of their last 29 matches.


• Unbeaten in all 9 league games this season.

Like their opponents, Defensa y Justicia’s main issue is converting draws into wins. Their defensive organization is strong, but their attack has lacked the cutting edge needed to secure more victories. Still, their ability to avoid defeat, especially away from home, makes them a tough opponent for any team.

San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two teams that share similar characteristics: disciplined defenses, compact structures, and a tendency to draw matches. In fact, three of their last five head-to-head meetings in the top division have ended level, including a 0-0 draw in their most recent encounter on September 22, 2024. Historically, goals have been scarce in this matchup, with San Lorenzo averaging just 0.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game against Defensa y Justicia.

Given both sides’ recent form and statistical trends, another low-scoring contest seems likely. San Lorenzo’s home matches almost always stay under 2.5 goals, while Defensa y Justicia’s away games follow a similar pattern. Both teams have drawn heavily this season, and their balanced styles suggest that neither will take excessive risks early on. The battle for midfield control and defensive discipline could define the outcome.

According to the latest probabilities, San Lorenzo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw stands at 32%, and Defensa y Justicia have a 30% chance. The Under 2.5 goals outcome is favored at 57%, while Both Teams To Score – No also holds a 57% likelihood. These figures align perfectly with the teams’ recent performances and head-to-head history.

BetMines prediction for San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia: Draw (X) with 32% probability. The data also supports a low-scoring match, reinforcing the expectation of Under 2.5 goals as a strong complementary option.