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San Lorenzo
1 - 0
FT
Estudiantes
Prediction published on Apr 1, 2026 11:04 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Apr 1, 2026 11:04 PM
The upcoming clash between San Lorenzo and Estudiantes de La Plata promises to be a tense encounter in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The home side are struggling to find consistency, while the visitors arrive in strong form and with momentum on their side. This fixture could have significant implications for the playoff race, as both teams aim to consolidate their positions in the upper part of the table.
San Lorenzo have endured a difficult run, going five league matches without a win. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Deportivo Riestra on March 25, 2026. Over their last five games, they have recorded one victory, three draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. In the current Liga Profesional de Fútbol season, their record stands at three wins, five draws, and three losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Defensive issues have been a recurring theme for the “Ciclón,” who have conceded seven goals in their last three league outings. The team’s home performances also show a pattern of low-scoring encounters: at least one team failed to score at half time in each of their last 21 home matches, and over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of their last 10 home fixtures. Additionally, under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in 35 of their last 37 league games, emphasizing their tendency toward tight, cautious contests.
Despite their struggles, San Lorenzo have shown resilience, managing to stay competitive in most games. Their challenge now lies in regaining defensive stability and converting draws into wins to re-enter the playoff zone.
Estudiantes de La Plata arrive in much better shape, having won their last two matches — a 2-1 victory over Gimnasia de Mendoza and a dominant 5-0 triumph against Central Córdoba SdE on March 23, 2026. Over their last five games, they have achieved three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match. Their season record of six wins, three draws, and two losses has placed them 2nd in the standings, showcasing their consistency and defensive solidity.
The “Pincha” have built their success on a disciplined backline, with under 3.5 goals recorded in 25 of their last 26 league matches. They also tend to keep things tight before the break — under 1.5 goals have been scored at half time in 22 of their last 23 league fixtures. Away from home, Estudiantes have maintained this pattern, with under 3.5 goals in each of their last 13 away league matches and at least one team failing to score at half time in their last 20 away games.
Estudiantes’ recent visits to San Lorenzo have been positive — they have avoided defeat in six of their last seven trips to the Estadio Pedro Bidegain, earning five draws and one win. Their defensive organization and efficiency in front of goal make them a difficult opponent to break down.
Historically, meetings between San Lorenzo and Estudiantes have been low-scoring affairs. The last five head-to-head encounters have all finished with under 2.5 total goals, including a 1-1 draw in their most recent clash on November 5, 2024. Both sides tend to prioritize defensive structure over attacking risk, which often results in tight, strategic battles decided by small details.
Given the current form and statistical trends, another cautious match is expected. San Lorenzo’s home record suggests they will aim to keep things compact, while Estudiantes’ recent scoring efficiency could give them the edge if they manage to exploit defensive lapses. However, with both teams showing a strong tendency toward low goal totals, a high-scoring outcome appears unlikely.
BetMines Prediction: Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
1
9
1.5
5
5
5
5
2.5
8
2
8
2
3.5
9
1
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0