Tools
San Lorenzo
1 - 0
FT
Talleres Córdoba
Prediction published on Sep 3, 2026 10:09 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Sep 3, 2026 10:09 PM
San Lorenzo and Talleres Córdoba meet in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on September 5, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 22:00 local time at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín in Buenos Aires. The two teams are separated by only one place in the league ranking, with San Lorenzo 14th and Talleres Córdoba 15th. Both enter the fixture after difficult sequences of results and recent coaching changes, increasing the importance of a positive response. San Lorenzo have lost three of their last five matches, while Talleres have recorded two defeats and two draws across the same period. Their latest head-to-head encounter finished 0-0 on March 1, and the available statistics point toward another closely contested game in which scoring opportunities may be limited.
San Lorenzo come into this home match after a 1-0 defeat against Instituto on September 1. Their last five games have produced one victory, one draw and three losses, with an average of only 0.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. That low attacking return highlights the main problem facing the hosts ahead of a fixture against an opponent positioned immediately below them in the ranking.
Across the Liga Profesional de Fútbol season, San Lorenzo have registered seven wins, nine draws and eight defeats. They average 0.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, numbers which underline how narrow many of their matches have been. Their defensive average is relatively controlled, but their limited production at the other end has left little margin for error. The hosts will therefore be looking for a stronger display after failing to score in their latest outing.
The recent goals data presents a particularly clear pattern. San Lorenzo’s last nine matches have all finished with under 2.5 total goals, while 21 of their last 23 league fixtures have also stayed below that line. In addition, each of their previous 14 league games produced under 3.5 goals, as did their last 10 home matches. Overall, 20 of their last 21 games ended with fewer than four total goals.
First-half action has also regularly been restricted. At least one team failed to score before the interval in San Lorenzo’s last 28 league matches, while under 1.5 first-half goals landed in each of their previous 14 league fixtures. The same half-time scoring pattern, with at least one side blanking, occurred in 34 of their last 36 matches across all competitions covered by the data.
The home side are also adapting after the resignation of Néstor Gorosito, with an interim coach taking temporary charge of the first team. San Lorenzo had opened the scoring in two of the three listed rounds played at Estadio Pedro Bidegain, offering some encouragement as they seek a determined response in front of their home support.
Talleres Córdoba arrive after a 0-0 draw against Central Cordoba SdE on August 30. Over their last five matches, the visitors have collected one win, two draws and two defeats. They averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded during that sequence, showing more attacking output than San Lorenzo but also allowing goals at a higher rate.
Their broader league record stands at eight victories, seven draws and nine defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Talleres are 15th in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol ranking, directly behind their hosts, so the small gap between the sides adds further balance to this encounter.
The visitors have also undergone a change on the bench. Jorge Sampaoli resigned after a run described as four defeats, two draws and one win, during which Talleres conceded 12 goals across seven rounds. Omar De Felippe has been appointed as his successor, and improving the team’s defensive reliability is an immediate issue for the new cycle. Talleres conceded first in two of their three listed away games in this competition, indicating vulnerability when playing away from home.
Despite those defensive concerns, Talleres have generally remained competitive during the opening half of matches. They have not been behind at half-time in 20 of their last 21 league fixtures and in 21 of their previous 23 matches overall. At least one team also failed to score in the first half in 29 of their last 31 games, reinforcing the possibility of a cautious opening period.
Four of Talleres Córdoba’s last 17 league matches finished without a goal, while the same happened in four of their last 18 away league fixtures. Four of their previous 18 matches overall also ended under 0.5 goals. Their most recent 0-0 result provides another example of the low-scoring outcomes found within their record.
This fixture brings together two sides looking for stability after challenging recent runs. San Lorenzo have the home advantage and hold a narrow lead in the supplied win probabilities, with the hosts rated at 39%, Talleres Córdoba at 33% and the draw at 28%. However, those percentages also illustrate the competitive nature of the contest, with no outcome carrying an overwhelming advantage.
The head-to-head record favors San Lorenzo. Across the supplied summary, they have three wins, two draws and no defeats against Talleres Córdoba, averaging 1.0 goal scored and only 0.2 conceded. The latest meeting ended goalless, another result consistent with San Lorenzo’s extensive sequence of matches featuring few goals.
The strongest statistical theme is the likelihood of a restrained scoreline. San Lorenzo’s nine consecutive under-2.5 results, their season averages of 0.7 scored and 0.8 conceded, and the 0-0 draw in the latest head-to-head all support that view. Talleres showed greater scoring output over their last five games, but their latest match also ended 0-0, while both teams have repeatedly been involved in first halves where at least one side did not score.
The goals model gives under 2.5 goals a 57% probability, compared with 43% for over 2.5. The both-teams-to-score probabilities are evenly divided at 50% for Yes and 50% for No, providing no clear preference in that market. With San Lorenzo struggling for goals, Talleres beginning a new coaching cycle and both teams carrying strong low-scoring first-half trends, a tight match with fewer than three total goals is the most coherent conclusion.
San Lorenzo vs Talleres Córdoba prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
San Lorenzo
Talleres Córdoba
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
8
2
4
6
2.5
10
0
4
6
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
10
0