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San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Profesional de Fútbol 15-08-2026

San Lorenzo

1 - 0

FT

Unión Santa Fe

Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
Leandro Rey Hilfer
light rain 15.2 °C

Prediction published on Aug 13, 2026 6:07 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Aug 13, 2026 6:07 PM

San Lorenzo host Unión Santa Fe on August 15, 2026, in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture between two teams searching for a stronger run of results. San Lorenzo enter the contest in 15th place, while Unión Santa Fe are 11th. Neither side has built convincing momentum: both have recorded only one victory across their last five matches and arrive after defeats in the previous round. The hosts lost 2-0 to Huracán on August 9, whereas Unión were beaten 2-1 by Central Cordoba SdE on August 11. Their most recent head-to-head meeting finished 0-0 on February 14, 2026, and the broader record is just as balanced, with one win for each team and three draws across five encounters. Those meetings produced averages of only 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded by San Lorenzo, suggesting another closely contested match could be ahead.

San Lorenzo Recent Form and Key Statistics

San Lorenzo approach this match after a difficult sequence that has placed added importance on their home performance. The 2-0 defeat against Huracán was their second consecutive loss in the Torneo Clausura, extending a frustrating period in which positive results have been scarce. Over their last five matches, the hosts have collected one win, one draw and three defeats. They have scored an average of only 0.4 goals per game during that spell while conceding 1.0, highlighting how their limited attacking output has made it difficult to recover whenever they fall behind.
Their season record in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol stands at six wins, eight draws and seven defeats. San Lorenzo average 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded, numbers that point toward generally tight contests rather than open, high-scoring games. Their recent home record also leaves room for improvement, as they have managed only one victory in their last six matches on their own ground. After losing an important home match to Huracán, the challenge is to respond without allowing that setback to deepen their current run.
Several trends reinforce the expectation of a controlled game. Fewer than 3.5 total goals have been scored in San Lorenzo’s last 11 league fixtures, while 18 of their previous 20 Liga Profesional matches finished under 2.5 goals. The opening period has been particularly restrained: under 1.5 first-half goals landed in each of their last 11 league games, and at least one team failed to score before half-time in their last 25 league appearances. The same first-half pattern occurred in 31 of San Lorenzo’s previous 33 matches across all competitions. There have also been four goalless league fixtures among their last 17, underlining the possibility that small margins will again shape the outcome.

Unión Santa Fe Recent Form and Key Statistics

Unión Santa Fe are also trying to recover from a disappointing result. Their 2-1 home defeat to Central Cordoba SdE interrupted their progress and left them needing greater consistency as they pursue another place in the playoffs. Across the last five matches, Unión have recorded one victory, two draws and two losses. Their scoring average of 1.0 goal per game during that sequence is better than San Lorenzo’s, but an average of 1.4 conceded shows that they have been more vulnerable defensively.
Over the league season, Unión Santa Fe have registered seven wins, seven draws and eight defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals both scored and conceded. Their matches have therefore followed a different pattern from San Lorenzo’s low-scoring schedule. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in Unión’s last 18 games and in each of their previous 16 Liga Profesional fixtures. That sequence also extends to their travels, with over 1.5 goals recorded in their last 10 away league matches.
The away defensive numbers present a clear challenge for the visitors. Unión have conceded at least once in each of their last 12 away matches in the competition, meaning they have repeatedly needed an attacking response to remain competitive. Second-half action has also been consistent: at least one goal was scored after the interval in their last 17 league matches and in each of their previous 12 away league fixtures. Across all competitions, that trend appeared in 21 of their last 23 games. Unión have also been behind at half-time in six of their last 10 matches, so avoiding another slow start could be especially important.
Despite those concerns, the visitors have reason to believe they can take something from this trip. In three of their last five visits to San Lorenzo, they earned a draw. Their overall five-match head-to-head record is perfectly level, and the latest encounter ended without a goal. That history gives Unión encouragement, even if their recent away record of conceding regularly remains a significant obstacle.

San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe Match Analysis

The central question is which statistical identity will have the greater influence: San Lorenzo’s repeated low-scoring pattern or Unión Santa Fe’s long sequence of matches containing at least two goals. The hosts have struggled to create chances consistently, averaging only 0.4 goals across their last five outings. However, their season-long defensive average of 0.9 goals conceded suggests they are often capable of keeping matches competitive. Unión offer more scoring potential but have conceded 1.4 goals per game both over the season and during their latest five-match run.
The first half may be particularly cautious. San Lorenzo’s league games have repeatedly featured no more than one goal before the break, while at least one side has failed to score in the opening half in 25 consecutive league matches involving the hosts. Unión’s record of trailing at half-time in six of their last 10 games adds another relevant dimension, although San Lorenzo’s limited scoring return means the home side cannot assume that early control will translate into a comfortable advantage.
Recent form provides little separation. Both clubs have won only once in five matches, both are coming off defeats, and the head-to-head summary is evenly split at one victory apiece with three draws. San Lorenzo’s need to improve at home is matched by Unión’s need to address a run of 12 away league fixtures without a clean sheet. With the latest meeting ending 0-0 and the historical scoring averages between these sides remaining low, efficiency in the decisive moments is likely to matter more than sustained attacking dominance. The available evidence points toward a balanced Liga Profesional contest in which neither team holds an overwhelming edge.

San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe - Predictions

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San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

San Lorenzo

Unión Santa Fe

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

80%

8

20%

2

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

100%

10

0%

0

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

100%

10

0%

0

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of San Lorenzo and Unión Santa Fe in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Apertura - Group B - Ranking

Team

8th Finals

Apertura - Group A - Ranking

Team

7

San Lorenzo

16

5

7

4

14:14

22

1.38

W
D
D
W
L
8

Unión Santa Fe

16

5

6

5

24:20

21

1.31

W
L
L
D
D
8th Finals

Clausura - Group B - Ranking

Team

8th Finals

Clausura - Group A - Ranking

Team

5

Unión Santa Fe

8

4

1

3

15:12

13

1.63

W
W
L
L
W
10

San Lorenzo

8

3

1

4

3:5

10

1.25

D
L
W
L
W
8th Finals

Who will win ?

San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe: Frequently asked questions

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When will San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe be played?
The Liga Profesional de Fútbol match between San Lorenzo and Unión Santa Fe will be played on August 15, 2026 at 17:30.
Where will San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe be played?
The match between San Lorenzo and Unión Santa Fe will be played at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Buenos Aires - Argentina
Who will referee San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe?
The referee for the match will be Leandro Rey Hilfer.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol?
The odds are: San Lorenzo to win 2.50, draw 2.90, Unión Santa Fe to win 3.20.
What are the betting odds for San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.60 and Under 2.5 at 1.47.
Will both San Lorenzo and Unión Santa Fe score in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.05, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.70.
What is the most likely correct score for San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 5.5.
What are the head-to-head results between San Lorenzo and Unión Santa Fe?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo and Unión Santa Fe, San Lorenzo won 1 times, Unión Santa Fe won 1, and 3 ended in a draw.

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