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Santos Laguna
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América
Prediction published on Apr 3, 2026 5:02 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Apr 3, 2026 5:02 AM
The Liga MX continues with an exciting clash in matchday 13 as Santos Laguna host Club América at the Estadio Corona. Both sides arrive with contrasting objectives: the home team fighting to escape the bottom of the table, while the visitors aim to consolidate their place in the top eight and move closer to the playoff zone. The encounter promises intensity, given that both teams urgently need points to improve their current situation in the league.
Santos Laguna come into this fixture after a 2-1 victory against Puebla, a result that provided a much-needed boost after a series of inconsistent performances. In their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Despite their struggles, the team has shown flashes of improvement, particularly in attack, where they have managed to score in most of their recent outings.
However, defensive issues remain a major concern. Santos have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 Liga MX matches, and their season average of two goals conceded per game highlights the fragility at the back. The team’s home form has also been unpredictable: they have failed to draw in 19 of their last 20 home matches, meaning their games often end decisively one way or another. Fans will hope that the energy of playing at home can inspire another positive result.
One of the standout performers for Santos has been Ezequiel Bullaude, a 25-year-old midfielder who has scored five goals and provided one assist this season. His consistency and attacking contribution have been crucial for a side that often struggles to maintain balance between defense and offense. If Santos are to get anything from this match, Bullaude’s creativity and finishing ability will be key.
Club América arrive at this match sitting 8th in the table, with 16 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats this season. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Despite some inconsistency, América remain one of the most solid defensive teams in the league, having conceded only one goal per match on average this season.
In their most recent outing, América lost 1-0 to Pumas UNAM, a result that extended their winless run to two matches. Before that, they drew 1-1 against Philadelphia in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. Nevertheless, their defensive discipline remains a strong point, as they have kept two clean sheets in their last five games. Away from home, América tend to play with composure and tactical awareness, often managing to control the rhythm of the match even in difficult environments.
Midfielder Rodrigo Dourado has been a consistent presence in América’s lineup, starting in ten of eleven matches and contributing one assist. His experience and control in midfield provide stability, allowing the team to transition effectively from defense to attack. América’s ability to maintain structure and discipline could prove decisive in this encounter, especially against a Santos side that tends to leave spaces at the back.
This match presents a clear contrast in styles. Santos Laguna rely on their attacking momentum and home advantage to unsettle opponents, while Club América focus on organization and efficiency. The hosts have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with over 2.5 goals in each of their last 12 matches, suggesting that their open style often leads to both scoring and conceding. On the other hand, América’s matches tend to be tighter, with fewer goals and a greater emphasis on defensive solidity.
Historically, América have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings and scoring an average of three goals per match against Santos. The last head-to-head ended 3-0 in favor of América, underlining their superiority in recent encounters. However, Santos will look to build on their recent win and exploit any complacency from the visitors.
Given the current dynamics, the match could see América controlling possession and dictating the tempo, while Santos attempt to strike on the counter. The key battle will likely take place in midfield, where both teams have influential players capable of changing the rhythm of the game.
According to the latest data, the probabilities for the 1X2 market are as follows: Santos Laguna win – 23%, Draw – 24%, and Club América win – 54%. Based on these figures, the most likely outcome is a Club América win (2) with a 54% probability. The visitors’ stronger defensive record and superior head-to-head performance make them the favorites to secure all three points.
Santos Laguna vs Club América prediction from BetMines: Club América win (2) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Santos Laguna
América
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
3
7
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2