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Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga MX 17-08-2026

Santos Laguna

0 - 1

FT

Guadalajara

Estadio Nuevo Corona
Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce
overcast clouds 28.83 °C

Prediction published on Aug 15, 2026 7:03 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Aug 15, 2026 7:03 AM

Santos Laguna and Guadalajara return to Liga MX action after ending their Leagues Cup campaigns with victories that were not enough to secure qualification. The match brings together the teams ranked 17th and 12th respectively, with both looking to improve their position during the fourth round of the domestic season. Santos enter the fixture after three consecutive Liga MX defeats, while Guadalajara have collected one win, one draw and one loss. The recent numbers give the visitors the stronger profile, but each side will hope that its midweek success can provide renewed confidence. Their latest meeting also went Guadalajara’s way by a 3-0 scoreline on March 14, 2026, adding another important reference point before this Liga MX encounter.

Santos Laguna Recent Form and Key Statistics

Santos Laguna were unable to reach the Leagues Cup quarter-finals after losing their opening two matches. They first suffered a 2-0 defeat against New York City before being beaten 3-1 by Chicago Fire. Their campaign did at least finish positively, as Santos recorded a 2-0 victory over Philadelphia Union on August 13, 2026. That result ended their involvement on a better note, although it could not repair the damage caused by the two earlier defeats.

The victory over Philadelphia Union was Santos Laguna’s only win across their last five matches. Their record in that sequence stands at one win and four defeats, with no draws. They averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match over that period, illustrating the difficulties they have experienced at both ends of the pitch. Their Liga MX record is even more concerning: three games have produced three defeats, with averages of 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded.

Defensive vulnerability has been a recurring issue for the hosts. Santos Laguna have allowed at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 Liga MX matches, a trend that places significant pressure on a forward line currently producing fewer than one goal per game. Their home results have not offered much reassurance either, as the source article records defeats in three of their previous four matches under those conditions.

There is also a notable pattern concerning the timing of goals in their home fixtures. At least one second-half goal has been recorded in 18 of Santos Laguna’s last 20 home matches, including the same proportion when considering Liga MX home games specifically. That statistic suggests the contest may remain active after the interval, particularly if the hosts are required to chase the result. Santos must therefore combine greater defensive control with a more consistent attacking output if they are to collect their first league points of the campaign.

Guadalajara Recent Form and Key Statistics

Guadalajara, also referred to as Chivas, experienced their own disappointing Leagues Cup campaign. Their first game against LAFC finished 1-1 in regular time before they lost the penalty shootout 5-4. A 1-0 defeat against FC Dallas followed, leaving them unable to progress despite closing the competition with a 2-1 victory over Seattle Sounders on August 13, 2026.

The visitors arrive with a more balanced recent record than Santos Laguna. Across their last five matches, Guadalajara have registered two wins, two draws and one defeat. They averaged one goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game during that sequence, numbers that reflect greater stability than the hosts have shown. Guadalajara’s Liga MX campaign has produced one win, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 0.7 goals scored and one conceded per fixture.

Guadalajara occupy 12th place in Liga MX and have lost only once in the Apertura 2026 campaign described in the source material. Although their scoring average remains modest, their defensive return has been considerably stronger than that of Santos. That difference could become decisive if the visitors are able to limit the hosts’ opportunities and take advantage of a defence that has repeatedly conceded in league competition.

The head-to-head summary also provides Guadalajara with encouragement. From the five recorded meetings between the sides, Santos Laguna have posted one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The latest encounter ended in a 3-0 Guadalajara victory, giving the visitors a clear recent success to draw upon. Nevertheless, their elimination from the Leagues Cup means they also have work to do as they attempt to restore momentum in domestic competition.

Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Match Preview and Analysis

The available form figures establish a clear contrast before this Liga MX fixture. Santos Laguna have lost every league match so far, concede an average of 2.3 goals per game in the competition and sit 17th. Guadalajara are five places higher, have taken points from two of their three league games and possess the better record across the teams’ last five matches.

Both clubs can at least approach the contest after winning their most recent games. Santos kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 success against Philadelphia Union, while Guadalajara defeated Seattle Sounders 2-1. Those results may help each squad reset following Leagues Cup elimination, but the wider statistical picture remains more favorable to the visitors. Santos have conceded with striking regularity in Liga MX, whereas Guadalajara have averaged only 0.8 goals against across their latest five fixtures.

The home side’s challenge is to turn one encouraging result into a sustained response. Improving their defensive resistance is essential, especially against an opponent that won the most recent head-to-head meeting by three goals. At the same time, Santos cannot rely solely on containment because their league scoring average is only 0.7. They need a more complete performance to avoid being forced into another second-half recovery.

For Guadalajara, the priority will be to reproduce the control suggested by their recent defensive numbers while finding enough attacking efficiency to exploit the hosts’ record. Their own Liga MX scoring average of 0.7 shows that chances may need to be used carefully. The combination of Santos Laguna’s difficult start, Guadalajara’s stronger five-match sequence and the visitors’ advantage in the recent head-to-head record makes this an important test of whether each team’s latest victory represents a genuine change in momentum.

Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara - Predictions

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Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Santos Laguna

Guadalajara

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Santos Laguna and Guadalajara in Liga MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team

2

Guadalajara

7

4

2

1

12:6

14

2

D
W
W
D
W
17

Santos Laguna

7

0

1

6

4:12

1

0.14

L
L
L
D
L
Final Series Play-offs

Who will win ?

Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara: Frequently asked questions

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When will Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara be played?
The Liga MX match between Santos Laguna and Guadalajara will be played on August 17, 2026 at 01:10.
Where will Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara be played?
The match between Santos Laguna and Guadalajara will be played at Estadio Nuevo Corona, Torreón - Mexico
Who will referee Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara?
The referee for the match will be Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara in the Liga MX?
The odds are: Santos Laguna to win 5.50, draw 4.33, Guadalajara to win 1.55.
What are the betting odds for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga MX?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.40.
Will both Santos Laguna and Guadalajara score in the Liga MX?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What is the most likely correct score for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara in the Liga MX?
The most likely correct score is 1-2, with odds of 8.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Santos Laguna and Guadalajara?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna and Guadalajara, Santos Laguna won 1 times, Guadalajara won 3, and 1 ended in a draw.

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