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Prediction published on Jan 17, 2026 12:03 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Jan 17, 2026 12:03 AM
The Clausura 2026 in Liga MX continues this weekend with an intriguing clash between Santos Laguna and FC Juárez. The match will take place at the Estadio Corona, where the home side will be desperate to secure their first win of the campaign after a disappointing start. The visitors, meanwhile, arrive with mixed results but a clear objective: to build momentum early in the season and climb the table. With both teams eager to bounce back from recent defeats, this encounter promises intensity and goals.
Santos Laguna come into this fixture under pressure after losing 3-1 to Toluca on January 15, marking their second consecutive defeat in the Clausura 2026. Their overall record in Liga MX this season stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. The team’s defensive fragility has been a recurring issue, and they will need to tighten up at the back if they are to turn things around.
Despite their struggles, Santos have shown resilience at home, where they rarely settle for draws — in fact, they haven’t drawn in their last 19 home matches in Liga MX. Their attacking output remains decent, averaging 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches, but conceding 2.2 on average has cost them valuable points. One positive note is the contribution of Francisco Villalba, who has already registered a goal and an assist, proving to be a key figure in their offensive play.
Playing at home could be an advantage, but the pressure is mounting. The fans at Estadio Corona will expect a reaction, especially after seeing their team fall short in recent encounters against Juárez.
FC Juárez started the Clausura 2026 with a promising 2-1 victory over Mazatlán but were narrowly defeated 1-0 by Guadalajara in their most recent outing. With one win and one loss so far, the Bravos sit 12th in the table and will look to capitalize on Santos’ poor form to secure another positive result away from home. Historically, Juárez have performed well in this fixture, winning four of their last five meetings against Santos Laguna, including a 2-1 triumph in August 2025.
Statistically, Juárez have been more balanced than their opponents. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match this season, showing a more compact defensive structure. In their last five games, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, with an average of one goal scored and one conceded per match. Denzell García has already opened his account for the season, while Jesús Murillo has been a standout in defense, averaging 6.0 recoveries and 0.5 interceptions per game. Francisco Navarez has also contributed with a goal, adding depth to their attacking options.
Juárez’s confidence will be boosted by their recent success at the Estadio Corona, where they have already proven capable of taking all three points. Their organized defense and efficient counterattacks could once again make the difference.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting starts to the Clausura 2026. Santos Laguna are struggling to find consistency and defensive stability, while FC Juárez have shown signs of balance and determination. The head-to-head record clearly favors the visitors, who have won four of the last five meetings, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game against Santos.
Given the attacking tendencies of both teams, goals are likely. The data suggests a high probability of both teams scoring (59%) and a 56% chance of Over 2.5 goals. However, the win probabilities lean slightly toward the visitors, with Juárez holding a 42% chance of victory compared to 34% for Santos Laguna and 25% for a draw.
With Santos desperate to end their losing streak and Juárez aiming to build on their solid start, this match could deliver plenty of action, particularly in the second half — a period where Santos matches almost always see goals.
Santos Laguna vs FC Juárez prediction by BetMines:
FC Juárez win (2) with 42% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Santos Laguna
Juárez
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
9
1