The final round of the Liga MX regular season brings an encounter between Santos Laguna and Monterrey at the Estadio Corona. Both sides enter this match without any chance of reaching the playoffs, but pride and the desire to end the campaign on a positive note will drive their performances. For the home team, it’s about closing a difficult season with dignity, while the visitors aim to confirm their superiority and finish higher in the standings.

Santos Laguna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Santos Laguna have endured a challenging season, currently sitting at the bottom of the Liga MX table in 18th place. Their campaign has been marked by inconsistency and defensive struggles, with a record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 20 defeats. The team averages 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, underlining their difficulties at both ends of the pitch.

In their last five matches, Santos have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.8. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 defeat against Atlético San Luis on April 23, 2026. The defensive line has been particularly vulnerable, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 16 league matches.

Despite their struggles, Santos have shown some attacking intent at home, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. This suggests that the team tends to grow into matches, often finding late opportunities to score. However, their inability to maintain defensive solidity has cost them valuable points throughout the season.

• Ranking: 18th in Liga MX


• Season record: 8W – 5D – 20L


• Average goals scored: 1.2 per match


• Average goals conceded: 2.0 per match


• At least one goal conceded in last 16 matches

Among the players to watch, Francisco Villalba has been a consistent performer in midfield, starting all 15 matches available and contributing two goals and two assists. His creativity and work rate have been bright spots in an otherwise disappointing campaign.

Monterrey’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Monterrey arrive in 11th place, with a record of 16 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats. The team averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, showing a more balanced profile compared to their opponents. Despite this, their recent form has been inconsistent, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five games.

Their most recent victory came against Puebla, a 2-1 result on April 22, 2026, which ended a run of three consecutive defeats. Monterrey’s attack has been more productive than Santos’, but defensive lapses have prevented them from securing a playoff spot. Historically, they have dominated this fixture, winning all of the last five head-to-head meetings, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.4.

• Ranking: 11th in Liga MX


• Season record: 16W – 7D – 14L


• Average goals scored: 1.7 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.5 per match


• Last 5 matches: 1W – 1D – 3L

In midfield, Oliver Torres has been a key figure, starting 13 of 14 possible matches and contributing one goal and four assists. His experience and passing range have been instrumental in linking play and creating chances for the forwards. Monterrey’s slightly superior individual quality and better overall balance could give them an edge in this final fixture.

Santos Laguna vs Monterrey Tactical Overview

This match is expected to be open and competitive, with both teams eager to end the season positively. Santos Laguna will rely on their home crowd to push them forward, hoping to exploit Monterrey’s defensive gaps. However, their tendency to concede early or lose focus in key moments remains a major concern.

Monterrey, on the other hand, will look to control possession and use their attacking depth to create scoring opportunities. Their recent head-to-head record gives them confidence, having won the last five meetings between the sides. Given both teams’ defensive fragility and the statistical trends, goals are likely to feature prominently in this encounter.

Historically, this fixture has produced goals, and with both sides averaging over one goal per game this season, another high-scoring contest could be on the cards. The fact that Santos have seen over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 home matches further supports the expectation of late drama.

BetMines Prediction

According to the latest data, the most probable outcome for this match is an Away Win (2) for Monterrey with a 49% probability. A Draw (X) follows at 24%, while a Home Win (1) for Santos Laguna stands at 27%. Given both teams’ recent defensive records and attacking tendencies, the Over 2.5 goals market also appears promising, supported by a 52% probability.

Santos Laguna vs Monterrey prediction from BetMines: Away Win (2) with 49% probability.