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Santos vs Chapecoense Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A 25-07-2026

Santos

2 - 2

FT

Chapecoense

Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho
light rain °C

Prediction published on Jul 24, 2026 1:13 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Jul 24, 2026 1:13 PM

Santos host Chapecoense at 18:30 on Saturday, July 25, 2026, in a Serie A fixture carrying major importance in the battle against relegation. The home side enter the match in 15th place, while Chapecoense are 20th and face an even more difficult situation. Both teams have struggled during the campaign, but their latest results reveal a clear contrast: Santos recently responded to a 2-1 defeat against Botafogo by beating UCV 4-1 in the Copa Sudamericana, whereas Chapecoense suffered consecutive losses against Bahia and Flamengo without scoring. With valuable league points available, Santos will aim to use home advantage and their stronger recent form, while the visitors must find a response after a damaging run of results.

Santos Recent Form and Key Statistics

Santos have collected five wins, six draws and eight defeats in Serie A, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.6 per match. Those season figures explain why the team remain involved near the lower end of the standings, although their short-term form offers more encouragement. Across their last five matches, Santos recorded three victories and two defeats, with averages of 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
Their most recent listed result was an emphatic 4-1 victory over UCV on July 22. That performance provided an immediate reaction after the 2-1 loss to Botafogo and demonstrated the attacking potential available to the squad. The wider ten-match record mentioned for Santos consists of six wins, three draws and only one defeat, further underlining why the hosts approach this fixture with greater confidence than their league position alone might suggest.
Several trends support the expectation that Santos will attempt to make an assertive start. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 13 matches, while their previous 13 games have also produced at least one first-half goal. Santos have led at half-time in each of their last three home fixtures and in eight of their last 11 matches overall. They have also avoided trailing at the interval in 21 of their previous 23 games. However, their last four home matches have all featured fewer than 7.5 corners, showing that recent home contests have not necessarily produced high corner totals.
Neymar is part of the Santos squad and could return after his participation in the World Cup. Rollheiser, Barreal, Gabriel Brazão and Willian Arão are also identified among the principal members of the group. The article additionally notes off-field difficulties, including recently unpaid image rights, as an issue that has affected a team still seeking greater consistency.

Chapecoense Recent Form and Key Statistics

Chapecoense arrive in 20th place after a challenging Serie A campaign. Their league record stands at one victory, six draws and 12 defeats, with averages of 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game. The visitors have managed only one win in their last five fixtures, losing the other four. During that sequence, they averaged 0.6 goals scored and two conceded, highlighting difficulties at both ends of the pitch.
Their latest match ended in a 4-0 defeat against Flamengo on July 23, following an earlier 2-0 loss to Bahia. Those two results mean Chapecoense approach the trip after consecutive matches without scoring and with six goals conceded. Their broader record is also concerning: they have not won in their last 18 Serie A fixtures and have gone without victory in 19 of their previous 20 matches across the stated sequence.
First-half results have presented another persistent obstacle. Chapecoense have failed to lead at the interval in their last 19 Serie A games and in 20 of their previous 21 matches overall. Defensively, they have conceded at least once in each of their last 13 league fixtures, while the same pattern applies to their last 13 away games. Even so, all of their previous 12 away matches have finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals, indicating that their trips have generally remained below four goals despite the regular concessions.
The squad has also been dealing with injuries. Anderson, João Paulo, Max, Maurício Garcez, Rafael Carvalheira, Vicor Caetano and Robert are expected to be unavailable. Among the main names identified for Chapecoense are Bolasie, Giovanni Augusto, Camilo and Rafael Thyere. They will be part of a group seeking to improve a record that has left the visitors with little margin for further setbacks.

Santos vs Chapecoense Match Analysis

The available numbers give Santos the stronger platform ahead of this Serie A meeting. Their recent sequence of three wins from five matches compares favourably with Chapecoense’s one victory and four defeats over the same period. Santos are also producing considerably more in attack, averaging 2.6 goals across their last five games compared with the visitors’ 0.6. The 4-1 win over UCV should provide further belief before a home fixture against the league’s 20th-placed side.
The opening period could be particularly important. Santos have led at half-time in their last three home matches, while Chapecoense have repeatedly failed to establish an interval advantage. Combined with the fact that Santos’ last 13 games have all contained a first-half goal, the statistics point toward an active start in which the hosts are likely to seek control early rather than wait for the contest to open up.
Chapecoense’s priority will be to resist that initial pressure and prevent another match from moving quickly beyond their reach. They have conceded in 13 consecutive Serie A games and in 13 straight away fixtures, so defensive improvement is essential. At the same time, the sequence of 12 away matches with fewer than 3.5 goals suggests that their road games have often remained relatively contained.
The most recent head-to-head encounter ended in a 4-2 Santos victory on January 28, 2026. Across the stated head-to-head summary, Santos hold three wins and Chapecoense two, with no draws; the home side averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in those meetings. Santos therefore bring the better recent form, the stronger scoring numbers and home advantage, but their season average of 1.6 goals conceded shows that maintaining control for the full match will still be important.

Santos vs Chapecoense - Predictions

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Santos vs Chapecoense: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Santos

Chapecoense

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

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Standings of Santos and Chapecoense in Serie A

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

13

Santos

25

8

8

9

37:38

32

1.28

L
W
D
W
W
20

Chapecoense

26

3

8

15

28:52

17

0.65

D
W
L
W
L
CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Relegation

Who will win ?

Santos vs Chapecoense: Frequently asked questions

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When will Santos vs Chapecoense be played?
The Serie A match between Santos and Chapecoense will be played on July 25, 2026 at 21:30.
Where will Santos vs Chapecoense be played?
The match between Santos and Chapecoense will be played at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos - Brazil
Who will referee Santos vs Chapecoense?
The referee for the match will be Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Santos vs Chapecoense in the Serie A?
The odds are: Santos to win 1.33, draw 5.00, Chapecoense to win 9.50.
What are the betting odds for Santos vs Chapecoense for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.61 and Under 2.5 at 2.25.
Will both Santos and Chapecoense score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Santos vs Chapecoense in the Serie A?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Santos and Chapecoense?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Santos and Chapecoense, Santos won 3 times, Chapecoense won 2, and 0 ended in a draw.

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