Tools
Prediction published on Aug 11, 2026 11:05 PM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on Aug 11, 2026 11:05 PM
Santos and Macará meet on August 14, 2026, in the first leg of their Copa Sudamericana round-of-16 tie. Santos reached this stage after eliminating UCV by an emphatic 8-3 aggregate score, having previously collected seven points during a modest group campaign. Macará advanced directly after finishing top of Group A and arrive in stronger recent form. The Brazilian side possess several proven individual threats, but their inconsistent results contrast with an Ecuadorian team that has shown confidence and resilience, especially on the road. With the return leg still to come, this opening encounter offers both clubs an important opportunity to establish an advantage in the contest.
Santos enter the match looking to respond after a 2-0 home defeat against Athletico PR on August 9. Their last five matches have produced two wins, two draws and one loss, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Those numbers underline the mixed nature of their current run: Santos have displayed enough attacking quality to claim positive results, but they have not consistently controlled matches at both ends of the pitch.
Their Copa Sudamericana campaign has been more productive. Santos have recorded three victories, four draws and one defeat in the competition, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match while conceding 1.1. The 8-3 aggregate victory over UCV demonstrated their ability to create chances and punish opponents across a two-legged tie. However, the four draws in their tournament record also indicate that they have frequently been involved in closely contested games.
Home form has been competitive without being entirely convincing. Across their last five home fixtures, Santos registered two wins, two draws and one loss. They have also avoided going into half-time behind in 18 of their last 20 home matches, suggesting that they are usually able to remain competitive through the opening period. Only two of their last ten home games ended without a goal from either side, so completely scoreless contests have been uncommon in that sequence.
Gabriel Barbosa and Neymar provide the leading individual references. Gabriel Barbosa has contributed four goals and two assists in this Copa Sudamericana, becoming the first Santos player to score four times in one edition of the tournament. Neymar has scored twice in the competition, while his Brazilian league return stands at six goals from nine appearances. Their ability to influence decisive moments gives Santos an important attacking resource as they attempt to make home advantage count.
Macará approach the first leg with considerable momentum. Their latest result was a 2-1 away victory against Barcelona Guayaquil on August 9, following another win over Guayaquil City. Overall, the Ecuadorian side have collected four victories and one draw from their last five matches. During that spell, they averaged 2.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded, figures that reflect both attacking efficiency and defensive reliability.
Their Copa Sudamericana record is particularly solid. Macará have won three and drawn four of their seven matches, meaning they remain unbeaten in the tournament. Their competition averages stand at 1.0 goal scored and 0.4 conceded per game. Although their last two Copa Sudamericana matches both finished with under 0.5 total goals, the broader record shows a team that has been difficult to defeat and capable of protecting its position when games become tight.
Performances away from home offer further encouragement. Macará are unbeaten in three away matches in this Copa Sudamericana and have not conceded as visitors in the competition. Across all competitions, they have won four of their last six away fixtures. That record supports the view that travelling has not prevented them from competing effectively, although two defeats are also included among their five most recent trips.
Franco Posse was influential during the group stage, recording two goals and one assist. The forward scored in each of his first two appearances in the competition, establishing himself as one of Macará’s notable attacking options. At the other end, goalkeeper Rodrigo Rodríguez kept three clean sheets during the group phase and played an important role in Macará’s unbeaten away record. The balance between Posse’s attacking contribution and Rodríguez’s reliability gives the visitors useful quality in both penalty areas.
The contrast in form makes this first leg difficult to reduce to Santos’ individual quality alone. The home side have the stronger scoring average in the Copa Sudamericana and produced eight goals across their tie with UCV, but they arrive immediately after a home defeat. Their overall competition record also includes four draws, showing that superiority on paper has not always translated into a clear victory.
Macará, meanwhile, bring an unbeaten Copa Sudamericana record and a five-match sequence containing four wins and one draw. Their defensive statistics are especially significant: they have conceded only 0.4 goals per match in the tournament, while Rodrigo Rodríguez has helped them remain unbreached away from home. Those numbers indicate that Santos may need patience to create clear opportunities, despite possessing important attacking contributors in Gabriel Barbosa and Neymar.
The first-leg setting adds another layer to the contest. Santos will aim to establish an advantage at home, whereas Macará have already demonstrated that they can remain competitive on their travels. The hosts’ record of avoiding a half-time deficit in 18 of their last 20 home games points toward a solid opening, but Macará’s recent scoring average and victory against Barcelona Guayaquil show that the visitors also carry a threat.
Overall, the Santos vs Macará preview presents a meeting between the home side’s greater Copa Sudamericana scoring output and the visitors’ impressive defensive consistency. Santos have the individuals to change the match quickly, while Macará arrive with better recent results and an unbeaten continental campaign. The opening leg should therefore provide a demanding examination of Santos’ attacking quality and Macará’s proven ability to compete away from home.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Santos
Macará
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1