The Brazilian Serie A offers another thrilling chapter of the Paulista derby as Santos host Palmeiras on Saturday, November 15, 2025, at 21:00. This traditional rivalry brings together two clubs with contrasting fortunes: while the home side fights to escape the relegation zone, the visitors continue their pursuit of the league title. The clash at Vila Belmiro promises intensity, emotion, and the usual tension that accompanies one of Brazil’s most historic fixtures.

Santos’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Santos enter this match in a difficult situation, sitting 17th in the Serie A table and struggling to find consistency. Their recent 3-2 defeat to Flamengo on November 9 extended a poor run of results, with no wins in their last five matches (two draws and three losses). Over that period, the Peixe have averaged just 1.0 goal scored per game while conceding 1.8. Throughout the season, their record stands at 8 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per match.

At home, Santos have struggled to impose themselves, often failing to capitalize on their fan support. They have lost at half time in 11 of their last 18 league matches, a sign of their slow starts. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 20 of their last 22 games, showing that their matches tend to open up after the break. Coach Juan Pablo Vojvoda faces additional challenges with several absences: Alexis Duarte is away on international duty with Paraguay, while Luan Peres remains doubtful.

Despite these setbacks, Vojvoda can still rely on a core group of players including Gabriel Brazão, Mayke, Frías, Zé Ivaldo, Igor Vinícius, João Schmidt, Zé Rafael, Gabriel Bontempo, Barreal, Guilherme, and Lautaro Díaz. The Argentine coach will hope that his side can rediscover their fighting spirit in front of their supporters, as every point now carries enormous weight in the battle for survival.

Palmeiras’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Palmeiras, on the other hand, arrive at Vila Belmiro as league leaders, sitting 1st in the Serie A standings. Despite a recent 2-1 loss to Mirassol on November 9, the Verdão remain in strong form, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches. Their attacking efficiency has been impressive, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game while conceding only 0.4. Over the course of the season, they have recorded 21 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining one of the best defensive records in the league.

Palmeiras have not drawn any of their last 16 matches, a statistic that highlights their aggressive approach and determination to secure victories. They have also scored at least one goal in 21 of their last 22 league games, underlining their attacking consistency. However, coach Abel Ferreira faces a long list of absentees due to international call-ups and injuries. Key players such as Emiliano Martínez, Facundo Torres, Flaco López, Gustavo Gómez, Piquerez, Sosa, and Vitor Roque are away with their national teams. In addition, Lucas Evangelista, Paulinho, and Weverton are injured, while Andreas Pereira is suspended.

Even with these absences, Ferreira can still field a competitive lineup featuring Carlos Miguel, Bruno Fuchs, Murilo, Micael, Khellven, Jefté, Aníbal Moreno, Raphael Veiga, Mauricio, Felipe Anderson, and Bruno Rodrigues. The depth and quality of Palmeiras’ squad remain their greatest strengths, allowing them to compete on multiple fronts, including the Copa Libertadores.

Santos vs Palmeiras: Tactical Overview and Match Analysis

This Paulista derby brings together two teams with very different objectives. Santos are desperate for points to avoid relegation, while Palmeiras are focused on maintaining their lead at the top of the table. Historically, the Verdão have dominated recent meetings, winning four of the last five encounters, including a 2-0 victory earlier this month. In those matches, Santos have averaged just 0.6 goals scored while conceding 1.6.

Given the current form, Palmeiras appear to have the upper hand. Their defense is among the most solid in the league, and their attack remains efficient even when key players are missing. Santos, meanwhile, have struggled to find rhythm and confidence, particularly in the final third. The home side’s inability to maintain defensive stability could once again prove costly against a team that rarely fails to score.

However, as with any derby, intensity and unpredictability are guaranteed. Santos will rely on the energy of their supporters and the motivation of playing a rival to raise their performance level. Palmeiras, on the other hand, will aim to control possession, exploit spaces on the counter, and use their superior organization to secure another crucial win in their title chase.

Probable Lineups Santos vs Palmeiras

SANTOS (4-3-3): Gabriel Brazão; Mayke, Frías, Zé Ivaldo, Igor Vinícius; João Schmidt, Zé Rafael, Gabriel Bontempo; Barreal, Guilherme, Lautaro Díaz. Coach: Juan Pablo Vojvoda.

PALMEIRAS (4-2-3-1): Carlos Miguel; Khellven, Bruno Fuchs, Murilo, Jefté; Aníbal Moreno, Raphael Veiga; Mauricio, Felipe Anderson, Bruno Rodrigues. Coach: Abel Ferreira.

Santos vs Palmeiras Prediction by BetMines

The most likely outcome is a Palmeiras win (2) with a 39% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 26%, while a Santos win (1) stands at 35%.