The upcoming clash between São Paulo and Mirassol promises to be an intriguing encounter in the 13th round of the Brazilian Serie A. Both teams are looking to stabilize their form, but the home side enters as the clear favorite. The match is scheduled for Saturday, April 25, at 21:00 (Brasília time), and although São Paulo will have the home advantage, the game will take place at the Brinco de Ouro da Princesa in Campinas instead of their usual ground.

São Paulo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

São Paulo have shown mixed results in recent weeks, alternating between victories and defeats. In their last five matches, they recorded three wins and two losses, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their most recent success came in the Copa do Brasil, where they defeated Juventude 1-0 on April 21. Despite some inconsistency, the Tricolor remain competitive, sitting 4th in the Serie A standings with a record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.

At home, São Paulo have been particularly strong, winning their last three matches and leading at halftime in each of them. Their defense has been reliable, with under 3.5 total goals recorded in 19 of their last 20 league games. Furthermore, at least one team failed to score in the first half in each of their last 20 matches, highlighting their disciplined defensive approach early in games.

• São Paulo rank 4th in Serie A.


• Won 1-0 against Juventude on April 21, 2026.


• Have won at halftime in their last 3 home matches.


• Under 1.5 goals at halftime in 19 of their last 20 league games.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 19 of their last 20 Serie A matches.

However, the team faces some absences. Pablo Maia, Marcos Antônio, Lucas Moura, and Ferreirinha are unavailable due to injuries, while Alan Franco is suspended. On the positive side, Rafael Tolói and Lucas Ramon return from suspension, providing a boost to the defensive line.

Mirassol’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Mirassol arrive at this fixture struggling to find consistency. They currently sit 18th in the Serie A table, with only 9 points from 11 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses). Their average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match reflects their defensive fragility. The team drew 1-1 against Bragantino on April 23 in the Copa do Brasil, a positive result considering they played away from home.

Despite that, Mirassol have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 league matches. Away from home, their record is concerning: they have lost at halftime in 10 of their last 13 away games. Even though they have managed two wins in their last five matches, the overall trend remains negative, with only two victories in their last sixteen fixtures across all competitions.

• Mirassol rank 18th in Serie A.


• Drew 1-1 against Bragantino on April 23, 2026.


• Have conceded in each of their last 12 Serie A matches.


• Lost at halftime in 10 of their last 13 away games.


• Over 0.5 goals at halftime in 18 of their last 20 away matches.

The visitors will be without Negueba, who suffered a serious knee injury, and Igor Cariús, sidelined with a calf issue. Yuri Lara remains doubtful and will undergo a late fitness test. These absences could further weaken a side already struggling defensively.

São Paulo vs Mirassol Tactical Overview and Prediction

This fixture brings together two teams in contrasting phases. São Paulo have shown resilience at home and possess a more balanced squad, while Mirassol continue to battle inconsistency and defensive issues. The Tricolor’s attacking line, supported by a solid defense, should be able to exploit the visitors’ vulnerabilities, especially given Mirassol’s tendency to concede early goals away from home.

Historically, São Paulo have had the upper hand in this matchup, including a 3-0 victory in their last head-to-head meeting on January 11, 2026. Although Mirassol managed to end a six-game losing streak recently, their overall form remains poor, and facing a strong home side like São Paulo will be a major challenge.

Given the statistics, a low-scoring match is likely, with São Paulo expected to control possession and create more chances. Mirassol’s defense will need to be at its best to avoid another defeat, but the hosts’ momentum at home makes them the favorites to take all three points.

Probable Lineups São Paulo vs Mirassol

SÃO PAULO: Rafael; Lucas Ramon, Ferraresi, Rafael Tolói, Wendell; Luan, Danielzinho; Cauly, Luciano, Artur; Calleri.
Coach: Roger Machado.

MIRASSOL: Walter; Igor Formiga, João Victor, Lucas Oliveira, Reinaldo; Neto Moura, Aldo Filho, Shaylon; Edson Carioca, André Luís, Alesson.
Coach: Rafael Guanaes.

BetMines Prediction

São Paulo vs Mirassol prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 57% probability.