Sarmiento welcome Belgrano to the Estadio Eva Perón de Junín on September 13, 2026, for a Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture that brings together the teams ranked second and fifth respectively. The hosts enter the contest with four victories from their last five matches, including a 2-0 away success against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto on September 4. Belgrano, by contrast, drew 1-1 with Huracán on the same date and have gone four consecutive appearances without a victory across all competitions. Although the season-wide numbers underline Belgrano’s consistency, current momentum and Sarmiento’s run of three straight home wins make this an intriguing and finely balanced encounter.

Sarmiento's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Sarmiento responded strongly to their defeat against Unión de Santa Fe by beating Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2-0 away from home. That result took their record across the last five matches to four wins and one defeat, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their recent form is therefore considerably stronger than their full Liga Profesional campaign, in which they have recorded 11 wins, one draw and 12 defeats while averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded.

A notable feature of Sarmiento’s results is the absence of stalemates. They have not drawn any of their last 17 matches, including 15 consecutive Liga Profesional fixtures. That sequence suggests their games have repeatedly produced a decisive outcome. There has also been a minimum of two total goals in each of their last 10 matches, providing another clear pattern ahead of this contest.

Home performances offer Sarmiento further encouragement. They have defeated Estudiantes de La Plata, Huracán and Independiente Rivadavia de Mendoza in their last three matches at the Estadio Eva Perón. They have also been ahead at half-time in each of their previous five home league fixtures and in their last four home matches across the available data. More broadly, Sarmiento have held a half-time lead in six of their last 10 Liga Profesional games.

The first-half figures point to a specific type of control rather than an open exchange. At least one team failed to score before the interval in 39 of Sarmiento’s last 40 matches, with the same outcome occurring in 37 of their previous 38 league fixtures. Their recent home results and repeated half-time advantages could be important against opponents who have struggled to lead on their travels.

Belgrano's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Belgrano arrive after a 1-1 draw against Huracán. Their latest five-match record stands at one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of only 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The broader season statistics are more positive: Belgrano have collected 13 wins, nine draws and six defeats in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, scoring an average of 1.1 goals and conceding 0.8 per match.

However, their current sequence shows a decline in results. Across their last four appearances in all competitions, Belgrano drew with Huracán and Atlético Tucumán and lost to Racing Club and Defensa y Justicia. The source article also notes that they were eliminated from the Copa Argentina during this difficult period. Those results leave the visitors trying to recover the stability reflected in their season record.

Belgrano’s first-half trends are particularly striking. They have failed to win the opening period in 19 of their last 20 away matches. At least one side has gone scoreless in the first half in 35 of their last 36 league games and 38 of their last 40 matches overall. In addition, 33 of their previous 36 Liga Profesional fixtures and 36 of their last 40 matches have produced fewer than two first-half goals.

Several of Belgrano’s games have been extremely tight. Their league fixtures have finished without a goal on eight occasions across the last 34, while the same scoreless outcome has appeared in eight of their previous 39 matches in all competitions. Away from home, four of their last 13 league games and three of their last 10 trips have ended with under 0.5 total goals. These figures reinforce the possibility that the visitors may again be involved in a restrained contest.

Sarmiento vs Belgrano Match Analysis

The recent numbers create a contrast between Sarmiento’s momentum and Belgrano’s stronger season record. The hosts have won four of their last five and are on a three-match winning sequence at home, whereas the visitors have managed one victory in their latest five outings and are currently four games without a win across all competitions. Nevertheless, the listed result probabilities remain very close: Sarmiento have a 33% chance of winning, the draw stands at 31%, and Belgrano are rated at 36%.

The head-to-head record gives Belgrano an additional source of confidence. Across the supplied meetings, Sarmiento have no wins, three draws and two defeats, averaging 0.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The most recent encounter ended 4-0 on May 3, 2026. Sarmiento will therefore be attempting to register their first top-flight home victory over Belgrano while also extending their current winning run at the Estadio Eva Perón.

From a goals perspective, the evidence is mixed but leans towards a controlled match. Sarmiento’s previous 10 games have all contained at least two goals, yet Belgrano’s recent fixtures average only 1.6 total goals based on their scoring and conceding rates over the last five. The visitors’ season average of 0.8 goals conceded also indicates that they have generally limited opponents. The supplied probabilities rate under 2.5 goals at 66%, while both teams failing to score is assessed at 57%.

The opening period may be central to the outcome. Sarmiento have repeatedly led at half-time in home fixtures, while Belgrano have almost always failed to hold an interval advantage in their recent away matches. At the same time, both teams have extensive sequences in which at least one side did not score before the break. A measured first half followed by a decisive phase would fit many of the statistical patterns surrounding this Liga Profesional match.

Sarmiento vs Belgrano prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 66% probability.