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Sarmiento
1 - 0
FT
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Prediction published on Mar 2, 2026 1:01 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Mar 2, 2026 1:01 AM
The upcoming clash between Sarmiento de Junín and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto promises to be a tense battle in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Both sides are struggling to find consistency early in the season, and this encounter could play a crucial role in shaping their campaigns. The match will take place at the Eva Perón Stadium, where Sarmiento will look to capitalize on home advantage to end their losing streak, while Estudiantes aim to build on their recent victory and climb away from the relegation zone.
Sarmiento enter this fixture after a difficult run of results, having lost three consecutive matches, including a 1-3 defeat against Unión Santa Fe. Their recent form shows 1 win and 4 defeats in the last five games, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Over the course of the season, they have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Despite their struggles, all of Sarmiento’s points so far have come at home, where they have shown glimpses of resilience. They have won at half time in 7 of their last 11 home matches in the league, a sign that they often start strong in front of their fans. However, the team’s inability to maintain consistency has been costly, as they have now suffered three straight defeats overall. Another worrying trend is their lack of goals before the break — at least one team has failed to score at half time in each of their last 27 matches, highlighting a pattern of slow starts.
For Sarmiento, this match represents an opportunity to regain confidence and move away from the lower end of the table. A victory would not only end their losing streak but also strengthen their position in the standings.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto arrive in Junín with renewed optimism after securing their first win of the season — a 2-0 home triumph over Huracán. That result ended a poor run of form that included one draw and five defeats. Their season record now stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
Defensive issues have been a major concern for the newly promoted side, as they have conceded 11 goals in seven games, the worst defensive record in the division. Away from home, their performances have been particularly disappointing, with four consecutive defeats against Tigre, Banfield, Atlético Tucumán, and San Lorenzo. Nevertheless, their recent victory could serve as a turning point, giving them the belief needed to compete more effectively on the road.
Estudiantes’ main challenge will be to tighten their defense and find more efficiency in attack. Their matches tend to be low-scoring, with under 3.5 goals in nearly all of their recent fixtures. If they can maintain the defensive discipline shown against Huracán, they could make life difficult for Sarmiento.
The last meeting between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw back in January 2021, the only previous encounter on record. Both teams scored once, reflecting a balanced contest. Given their current form, another tight and cautious match could be on the cards. Sarmiento’s home advantage and slightly better attacking numbers might give them a small edge, but Estudiantes’ recent morale boost could make this a closer battle than expected.
Both teams have struggled to score consistently, and their recent statistics suggest a low-scoring affair. With both sides averaging fewer than one goal per game and showing defensive vulnerabilities, the match could hinge on which team capitalizes on limited chances. The first half may again be cagey, as both teams have a long record of matches with no goals before the break.
According to the latest probabilities, Sarmiento have a 47% chance of winning, the draw stands at 29%, and an Estudiantes de Río Cuarto victory is estimated at 25%. The data also points to a low-scoring match, with Under 2.5 goals favored at 61% probability, while Both Teams To Score – No has a 55% likelihood.
Sarmiento vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sarmiento
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
4
6
5
5
2.5
6
4
8
2
3.5
9
1
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0