The upcoming clash between Sarmiento de Junín and Unión de Santa Fe promises to be a tight and tactical battle in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Scheduled for Thursday at the Estadio Eva Perón, this fixture finds both sides looking to consolidate their positions in the standings. The home team sits 11th, while the visitors occupy 8th place, separated by only a few points. Sarmiento will aim to bounce back after two consecutive defeats, while Unión seek to build on their recent victory and improve their away form.

Sarmiento de Junín’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Sarmiento enter this match after a difficult run of results, having lost 1-0 to Estudiantes on February 20 and previously falling by the same scoreline to Huracán. Both defeats came away from home, underlining their struggles on the road. However, their home record tells a different story: all six of their points this season have been earned in Junín, with wins over Atlético Tucumán (2-1) and Banfield (1-0). Playing at the Eva Perón has clearly been their strength so far.

Across their last five matches, Sarmiento have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. In the current campaign, their overall record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, with an average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their games tend to be low-scoring: Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 16 league fixtures. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score at half time in the last 25 league matches involving Sarmiento, highlighting their cautious approach early in games.

Despite their inconsistency, Sarmiento have shown a pattern of starting strong at home, having led at half time in their last three home league matches. This early dominance could again be crucial against Unión, especially given their need to recover from recent setbacks.

Unión de Santa Fe’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Unión Santa Fe arrive in Junín after a morale-boosting 1-0 home win over Aldosivi on February 23. That result ended a short winless streak following a draw with San Lorenzo and a defeat to Gimnasia de Mendoza. Their season record currently stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match — one of the more solid defensive records in the league.

However, their away form remains a concern. Unión have lost both of their away games this season, against Central Córdoba and Lanús, conceding all three of their goals on the road. Historically, they have also struggled to find the net away from home, with Under 0.5 goals scored in 5 of their last 16 away matches in the league. Their recent fixtures have been tight overall, with Under 7.5 corners in each of their last four league games, suggesting a controlled and compact style of play.

In their last five matches, Unión have achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their defensive discipline could be key in this encounter, especially against a Sarmiento side that tends to rely on narrow margins at home.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The recent history between these two sides has been balanced. In their last five meetings, Sarmiento have won twice, Unión three times, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and conceded per team. Their most recent encounter ended 1-0 on September 29, 2024, another example of the low-scoring nature of this fixture.

Given both teams’ tendencies, this match is likely to be decided by fine details. Sarmiento’s home advantage and early-game intensity could give them the upper hand, while Unión’s compact defense and counterattacking potential might keep the hosts cautious. The statistical trends point toward a match with few goals, where efficiency in front of goal will be decisive.

• Under 3.5 goals in Sarmiento’s last 16 league matches.


• Under 0.5 goals in 4 of Unión’s last 10 league games.


• At least one team failed to score at half time in Sarmiento’s last 25 league matches.


• Sarmiento have led at half time in their last 3 home league games.

Sarmiento de Junín vs Unión de Santa Fe Prediction

Both teams have shown contrasting home and away performances, which could play a decisive role here. Sarmiento have been reliable in Junín, while Unión have yet to earn a single point on the road this season. The hosts’ ability to control matches early and maintain defensive solidity at home suggests they could edge this contest.

Sarmiento de Junín vs Unión de Santa Fe prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 40% probability.