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Sassuolo
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Atalanta
Prediction published on Feb 27, 2026 1:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 27, 2026 1:01 PM
The 27th round of the 2025/26 Serie A season brings an intriguing clash between Sassuolo and Atalanta, scheduled for Sunday, March 1, 2026, at the Mapei Stadium in Reggio Emilia. Both teams enter the match in excellent form, promising a high-intensity encounter filled with attacking football and plenty of goal-scoring opportunities. Sassuolo are enjoying a strong campaign in mid-table security, while Atalanta continue to impress domestically and in Europe, coming off a stunning Champions League triumph.
Sassuolo approach this fixture in confident mood after a convincing 3-0 victory over Hellas Verona on February 20. The Neroverdi have won four of their last five Serie A matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game in that period. Their recent surge has lifted them to 9th place in the league with 35 points, comfortably clear of the relegation zone but still some distance from European qualification spots.
Over the course of the season, Sassuolo have recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, maintaining an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. The team’s attacking strength has been spearheaded by Domenico Berardi, who leads the scoring charts for the club with seven goals so far. His influence remains vital, especially considering his strong record against Atalanta, having been directly involved in all three goals during their previous meeting earlier in the campaign.
Coach Fabio Grosso’s side have shown resilience since a heavy defeat to Inter earlier in the season, responding with back-to-back wins against Udinese and Verona. With the return of key players such as Nemanja Matic and Tarik Muharemovic from suspension, Sassuolo will look to continue their momentum. However, defender Sebastian Walukiewicz will miss the match due to accumulated yellow cards.
Atalanta arrive in Reggio Emilia as one of the most in-form teams in Italy. The Bergamo side have collected 23 points from their last nine Serie A matches, remaining unbeaten in that stretch. Their most recent triumph came in Europe, where they produced a spectacular 4-1 win over Borussia Dortmund on February 25, overturning a first-leg deficit to reach the Champions League Round of 16.
In Serie A, Atalanta currently sit 7th in the standings with a record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses. They average 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, underlining their balance between attack and defense. In their last five matches, they have won four and lost just once, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding only 1.0.
Atalanta’s attacking options remain strong despite some injury concerns. Nikola Krstovic is expected to feature after recovering from a head injury sustained in the Dortmund match, competing with Gianluca Scamacca for a starting spot. Midfielder Ederson could return after missing two games, while Raspadori and De Ketelaere remain unavailable. The team’s ability to maintain intensity despite a busy schedule will be tested, but their recent performances suggest they are more than capable of handling the challenge.
The recent history between these two sides slightly favors Atalanta, who have won three of the last five meetings, including a 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture on November 9, 2025. Sassuolo have managed two wins in that span, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per match against the Bergamo outfit. Matches between these teams often deliver goals, and given both sides’ current attacking form, another high-scoring contest seems likely.
Atalanta’s tendency to start strong is reflected in their record of winning at half time in 9 of their last 14 matches, while Sassuolo’s home advantage and attacking trio of Berardi, Pinamonti, and Laurienté could make this a more balanced affair. The visitors’ defensive solidity, however, remains a key factor, as they have conceded fewer than one goal per game on average this season.
Given Sassuolo’s week-long preparation and Atalanta’s midweek European exertions, the match could hinge on energy levels and squad depth. Still, both teams possess enough offensive quality to make this fixture one of the most entertaining of the weekend.
All indicators point toward an open, attacking match at the Mapei Stadium. Sassuolo’s recent scoring form and Atalanta’s relentless offensive rhythm suggest that goals are on the horizon. The historical data and current trends align with the expectation of a high-scoring encounter.
Sassuolo vs Atalanta prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
6
4
9
1