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Sassuolo vs Bologna Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A 15-03-2026

Sassuolo

0 - 1

FT

Bologna

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Kevin Bonacina
light rain 16.02 °C

Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 3:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 3:01 PM

The upcoming Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Bologna promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 29th round. Both sides are separated by just one point in the standings, with Bologna sitting eighth and Sassuolo ninth. The hosts have been in fine form under their current coach, showing renewed confidence and ambition as they aim to push closer to the European qualification spots. Despite a narrow 2-1 defeat to Lazio in their last outing, Sassuolo’s recent run of three wins in four matches has reignited belief among their supporters. Bologna, meanwhile, continue to fight for consistency after a mixed campaign that has seen flashes of quality but also several missed opportunities.


Sassuolo’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Sassuolo approach this match with a record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats in Serie A. Their attacking play has been effective, averaging 1.3 goals per game, though defensive lapses have cost them points, with 1.4 goals conceded on average. In their last five matches, the Neroverdi have collected three victories and two losses, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding 1.8. The home side’s recent performances at the Mapei Stadium have been particularly encouraging, with three wins in their last four home games. After victories against Hellas Verona (3-0) and Atalanta (2-1), Sassuolo could score more than once in three consecutive home matches for the first time since April 2022.


Historically, Sassuolo have struggled against Bologna, winning only two of their ten home meetings in Serie A. However, they remain unbeaten in five of the last six home encounters, showing that the Mapei Stadium is no easy ground for visiting teams. The hosts will look to maintain that resilience and capitalize on their attacking momentum to close the gap on their regional rivals.


Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Bologna come into this fixture after a 1-1 draw against Roma in the Europa League and a 2-1 defeat to Verona in their most recent Serie A match. Their season record stands at 11 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. In their last five matches, Bologna have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, showing a solid defensive structure that has limited opponents to just 0.6 goals per game on average.


The Rossoblù have been particularly reliable away from home, scoring in each of their last 12 away matches in Serie A. They have also remained unbeaten in eight of their last nine away derbies against teams from Emilia-Romagna, a run that includes four wins and four draws. Another key trend is their consistency in second halves: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 14 league matches. Despite this attacking consistency, Bologna’s matches tend to be tight affairs, with under 3.5 total goals in each of their last 11 Serie A games.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


The rivalry between Sassuolo and Bologna has produced balanced encounters in recent seasons. Their most recent meeting ended 1-1 in December 2025, and Sassuolo have failed to win any of the last five head-to-head clashes, drawing three and losing two. On average, Bologna have scored twice per game in these fixtures, while Sassuolo have managed just one. This trend suggests another close contest could be on the cards.


Both teams have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Sassuolo’s strength lies in their fluid offensive transitions, while Bologna’s compact defensive shape and efficiency in front of goal make them a dangerous opponent on the counterattack. Given the recent form and the statistical balance between the two, this match could hinge on small details — particularly in the second half, where both sides tend to find the net.


Probable Lineups Sassuolo vs Bologna


SASSUOLO (4-3-3): Muric; Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Garcia; Thorstvedt, Matic, Koné; Berardi, Pinamonti, Laurienté.
BOLOGNA (4-2-3-1): Skorupski; Zortea, Vitik, Lucumì, Joao Mario; Freuler, Moro; Orsolini, Odgaard, Rowe; Castro.


Sassuolo vs Bologna Prediction and Final Analysis


Everything points toward a balanced and competitive encounter between two sides with similar ambitions and recent trajectories. Sassuolo’s home advantage and attacking rhythm could be decisive, but Bologna’s solid away form and ability to score in every recent away match make them a serious threat. The historical data also suggests that both teams are likely to find the net, continuing a trend seen in their previous meetings.


Considering the current momentum, Sassuolo’s home strength, and Bologna’s reliability on the road, this fixture could once again end in a draw or a narrow win for either side. Expect a tactical battle with moments of attacking brilliance from both teams, especially after halftime when both tend to increase their offensive output.


Sassuolo vs Bologna prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.

Sassuolo vs Bologna - Predictions

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Sassuolo vs Bologna: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Sassuolo

Bologna

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Sassuolo and Bologna in Serie A

Who will win ?

Sassuolo vs Bologna: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Sassuolo vs Bologna be played?
The Serie A match between Sassuolo and Bologna will be played on March 15, 2026 at 14:00.
Where will Sassuolo vs Bologna be played?
The match between Sassuolo and Bologna will be played at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia - Italy
Who will referee Sassuolo vs Bologna?
The referee for the match will be Kevin Bonacina.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Sassuolo vs Bologna in the Serie A?
The odds are: Sassuolo to win 2.50, draw 3.25, Bologna to win 2.80.
What are the betting odds for Sassuolo vs Bologna for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.90 and Under 2.5 at 1.90.
Will both Sassuolo and Bologna score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.75, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.00.
What is the most likely correct score for Sassuolo vs Bologna in the Serie A?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Sassuolo and Bologna?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Sassuolo and Bologna, Sassuolo won 0 times, Bologna won 2, and 3 ended in a draw.

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