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Sassuolo vs Cesena Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Coppa Italia 17-08-2026

Sassuolo

3 - 0

FT

Cesena

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Niccolò Turrini
clear sky 27.69 °C

Prediction published on Aug 15, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Coppa Italia | Modified on Aug 15, 2026 5:01 PM

Sassuolo host Cesena in the Coppa Italia round of 64, with both teams beginning their competitive schedules after several weeks of preparation. The fixture at the Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore represents an early test for two squads approaching the occasion with different expectations. Sassuolo can draw on a group assembled for top-flight football and greater individual quality, but their recent defensive performance against FC Augsburg showed that there is still room for improvement. Cesena arrive with the aim of upsetting their hosts and building confidence before returning to their league campaign. Recent results suggest that the visitors should not be underestimated, making this knockout meeting an intriguing contest despite Sassuolo’s stronger record in the head-to-head series.

Sassuolo Recent Form and Key Statistics

Sassuolo enter this Coppa Italia tie still searching for the right balance. Their last five matches produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, a sequence that underlines a degree of inconsistency during the preparation period. The most recent outing ended in a 3-2 defeat against FC Augsburg on August 8, 2026. Scoring twice demonstrated that the team could create opportunities, but conceding three goals also exposed defensive weaknesses that will need to be addressed in a knockout match where every mistake can have immediate consequences.

The available figures show an average of 5.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across Sassuolo’s last five matches. Their home games have also tended to produce early action: at least one first-half goal has been recorded in each of their previous 11 home fixtures. That pattern could encourage the hosts to start positively rather than allowing Cesena to settle into the contest. However, the elimination from the previous edition of the Coppa Italia, when Sassuolo lost 3-0 to Como, offers a reminder that their status alone does not guarantee progression.

Alberto Aquilani can rely on a squad described as being built for the top division. Obrador is the latest arrival mentioned ahead of the game, while Domenico Berardi remains the team’s principal reference point thanks to his experience and leadership. Sassuolo’s individual resources may help them control important phases of the match, although those qualities must be accompanied by greater defensive stability than they displayed in their latest defeat.

Cesena Recent Form and Key Statistics

Cesena travel to face Sassuolo with much stronger recent numbers than the original match narrative might suggest. The structured form data records four victories and one draw in their last five matches, leaving them unbeaten throughout that sequence. They have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over those fixtures, statistics that indicate both attacking productivity and an impressive defensive return during their preparation.

The visitors’ latest game was a 0-0 draw against Forlì on August 8, 2026. Although that result brought their winning run to a halt, another clean sheet maintained their defensive momentum. Three of Cesena’s last ten matches finished without a goal, while the same was true in two of their previous ten away games. Those figures introduce the possibility of a cautious spell, particularly if Cesena prioritise remaining compact while adapting to the pressure applied by the home side.

Diamanti will attempt to guide the visitors through this demanding cup assignment, with Shpendi and Berti identified as important figures in the effort to secure a positive result. Cesena’s objective is not merely to compete but to overturn expectations and use the occasion to strengthen confidence. Their unbeaten five-match sequence gives them a meaningful platform, and their recent defensive record could make them difficult to break down if they reproduce the same concentration here.

Sassuolo vs Cesena Match Analysis

The historical comparison gives Sassuolo an advantage, but not an overwhelming one. Across the last five head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The latest encounter ended 2-0 in Sassuolo’s favour on April 25, 2025, while the most recent Coppa Italia meeting mentioned in the available information also went to the Neroverdi, who won 2-1.

Those results provide the hosts with encouragement, especially when combined with their individual quality and home status. Nevertheless, recent form creates a more balanced picture. Sassuolo have lost twice in five games and conceded three against FC Augsburg, whereas Cesena have gone five matches without defeat and without conceding on average across that run. The home side will therefore need to avoid assuming that previous meetings will dictate the direction of this cup tie.

  • Sassuolo: two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches.
  • Cesena: four wins and one draw in their last five matches.
  • Recent head-to-head record: three Sassuolo wins, one draw and one Cesena victory.
  • Latest meeting: Cesena 0-2 Sassuolo on April 25, 2025.
  • First-half trend: Sassuolo’s last 11 home matches produced at least one goal before the interval.

The key contrast is between Sassuolo’s attacking potential and Cesena’s recent defensive strength. An early home goal would support Sassuolo’s established first-half trend and could force the visitors to take more risks. If Cesena keep the score level for an extended period, however, the pressure may shift toward a home team that is still working toward a settled structure. With progression decided through a knockout fixture, efficiency in both penalty areas and the ability to manage decisive moments are likely to shape the outcome.

Sassuolo vs Cesena - Predictions

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Sassuolo vs Cesena: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Sassuolo

Cesena

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

60%

6

40%

4

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Sassuolo and Cesena in Coppa Italia

Who will win ?

Sassuolo vs Cesena: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Sassuolo vs Cesena be played?
The Coppa Italia match between Sassuolo and Cesena will be played on August 17, 2026 at 16:30.
Where will Sassuolo vs Cesena be played?
The match between Sassuolo and Cesena will be played at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia - Italy
Who will referee Sassuolo vs Cesena?
The referee for the match will be Niccolò Turrini.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Sassuolo vs Cesena in the Coppa Italia?
The odds are: Sassuolo to win 1.42, draw 4.75, Cesena to win 6.50.
What are the betting odds for Sassuolo vs Cesena for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Coppa Italia?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.40.
Will both Sassuolo and Cesena score in the Coppa Italia?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.70, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.05.
What is the most likely correct score for Sassuolo vs Cesena in the Coppa Italia?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 8.
What are the head-to-head results between Sassuolo and Cesena?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Sassuolo and Cesena, Sassuolo won 3 times, Cesena won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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