Tools
Sassuolo
3 - 1
FT
Fiorentina
Prediction published on Dec 4, 2025 3:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Dec 4, 2025 3:01 PM
The 14th round of Serie A opens with an intriguing clash at the Mapei Stadium in Reggio Emilia, where Sassuolo host Fiorentina on Saturday, December 6, 2025, at 15:00. Both sides are in need of points, but for very different reasons: Sassuolo aim to consolidate their mid-table position, while Fiorentina are desperate to escape the relegation zone after a disastrous start to the season.
Sassuolo come into this match following a 2-0 defeat away to Como on November 28, a result that highlighted their inconsistency in recent weeks. Fabio Grosso’s men have collected 17 points so far, sitting 11th in the Serie A table, with a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats. Interestingly, 10 of those points have come away from home, suggesting that the Neroverdi have been more comfortable on the road than at the Mapei Stadium.
At home, Sassuolo have not celebrated a victory since late September, a statistic that the team will be eager to change in front of their supporters. Despite this, their overall goal balance remains even, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. In their last five league fixtures, they have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Injuries continue to be a major concern for Grosso. The long list of absentees includes Domenico Berardi, Edoardo Pieragnolo, Aster Vranckx, Daniel Boloca, Filippo Romagna, Stefano Turati, Laurs Skjellerup, and Yeferson Paz. Midfielder Luca Lipani is also doubtful. Without Berardi, who has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists this season, the attacking responsibility will fall on Andrea Pinamonti, Armand Laurienté, and Cristian Volpato, who are expected to lead the offensive line.
Historically, Sassuolo have struggled to maintain consistency after international breaks, but one curious trend stands out: each of their four league defeats this season has been followed by a victory in the next round. That pattern could give the home fans reason for optimism ahead of this encounter.
Fiorentina’s situation is far more concerning. The Viola are currently 19th in Serie A with just 6 points from 13 matches, having yet to win a single league game this season. Their record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats paints a bleak picture, and the team has scored only 0.8 goals per match while conceding 1.6 on average.
Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 loss to Atalanta on November 30, extending their winless streak in all competitions to eight matches (3 draws and 5 defeats). Since taking over from Stefano Pioli, new coach Paolo Vanoli has yet to find the right formula, with his side losing both of their last two games after opening with two draws.
Defensively, Fiorentina have been fragile, conceding at least two goals in each of their last four away fixtures across all competitions. Only Torino have allowed more goals in Serie A this season. The team’s morale is low, and recent reports suggest that the players were confronted by supporters after their latest defeat.
In terms of personnel, Fiorentina will be without Martin Pongracic due to suspension, while Tariq Lamptey and Robin Gosens remain sidelined through injury. In attack, Rolando Mandragora is surprisingly the team’s top scorer with three goals, while Moise Kean—last season’s leading marksman—will likely start alongside Albert Gudmundsson as the Viola search for their first league win.
This matchup pits two teams in contrasting emotional states. Sassuolo, though inconsistent, have shown flashes of quality and remain comfortably mid-table, while Fiorentina are in crisis, struggling to find rhythm and confidence. The home side’s main challenge will be to compensate for the absence of Berardi, their creative and attacking leader, but the trio of Pinamonti, Laurienté, and Volpato has the potential to trouble any defense.
Fiorentina’s main issue lies in both ends of the pitch: they lack cutting edge up front and stability at the back. Their inability to keep clean sheets away from home and their tendency to fall behind early—having trailed at half-time in each of their last three matches—suggest that Vanoli’s men could again face an uphill battle in Reggio Emilia.
Historically, this fixture has produced goals, with the last meeting ending in a 5-1 victory for Fiorentina in April 2024. However, given the current form of both sides, a more balanced and cautious contest is expected this time. Sassuolo’s home advantage and Fiorentina’s ongoing struggles make the hosts slight favorites to take something from the game.
SASSUOLO (4-3-3): Consigli; Toljan, Erlic, Ferrari, Doig; Henrique, Lipani, Thorstvedt; Laurienté, Pinamonti, Volpato. Coach: F. Grosso
FIORENTINA (3-4-1-2): Terracciano; Milenkovic, Ranieri, Kayode; Dodo, Mandragora, Duncan, Biraghi; Bonaventura; Kean, Gudmundsson. Coach: P. Vanoli
The most likely outcome is a Sassuolo win (1) with a 42% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 26%, while a Fiorentina win (2) stands at 32%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0