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Sassuolo
6:45 PM
September 13, 2026
Juventus
Prediction published on Sep 11, 2026 7:10 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Sep 11, 2026 7:10 PM
Sassuolo host Juventus at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore on September 13, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 local time. The Serie A fixture brings together the team ranked 10th and the side currently in sixth place. Sassuolo enter the contest after a 2-2 draw against Bologna, while Juventus were also held in their latest match, drawing 1-1 with AC Milan. The hosts have collected one victory, one draw and one defeat in the league, whereas the visitors remain unbeaten after two wins and one draw. Although Juventus have the stronger start and a solid recent defensive record, Sassuolo’s home form suggests that this could be a demanding away assignment.
Sassuolo began their Serie A campaign with a defeat against Atalanta before responding with a victory over Torino and a draw against Bologna. They were only denied all three points against Bologna during stoppage time. Across their last five matches, the Neroverdi have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.2 per game.
Their league averages after three matches stand at 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Sassuolo have also produced an impressive sequence on their own ground, remaining unbeaten across their last eight Serie A home fixtures with six victories and two draws. That record gives the hosts a credible platform against a Juventus team that has historically enjoyed considerable success in this matchup.
There is also a clear first-half trend surrounding Sassuolo’s home games. At least one goal has been scored before the interval in each of their last 14 home matches across all competitions, including their last 12 at home in Serie A. Those numbers point toward another active opening period, even if Juventus have generally kept first halves controlled.
In individual terms, Armand Laurienté has attempted 16 shots without scoring during the current Serie A campaign. Bowie leads the expected-goals ranking among players still without a goal, recording 1.55 xG. Adžić, who scored in the previous round, is also identified as a former Juventus player and the first footballer born from 2006 onward to score for two different clubs in Serie A.
Juventus arrive with seven points from their first three league games. Victories over Frosinone and Parma were followed by the 1-1 draw against AC Milan, in which Gatti scored a headed equaliser in stoppage time. Over their last five matches, Juventus have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded.
Their Serie A figures are even more defensively impressive: two victories, one draw and no defeats, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded. Since the beginning of March, Juventus have allowed only ten league goals, the best total among the teams that were not newly promoted. During the same period, they have lost just once and collected 30 points.
That defensive reliability has been essential because attacking efficiency remains an issue. Juventus have produced 55 attempts in the league but scored only four goals, supplied by four different players. Their seven points have therefore come at a rate of 1.75 points for every goal scored. Randal Kolo Muani has accumulated 1.54 xG without finding the net, narrowly behind Bowie in that particular ranking.
Nico González has scored four times against Sassuolo, more than against any other Serie A opponent. He has also registered five league goals since March while playing 418 minutes, the lowest playing-time total among players from the five major European leagues to have reached at least five goals over that period.
Juventus nevertheless travel with several availability concerns. Thuram, Locatelli and Yildiz are expected to be unavailable for several months, with Locatelli having undergone surgery on his lateral meniscus. McKennie is doubtful, while Ekhator and Cambiaso are not in optimal condition. Sarr has recovered sufficiently to be considered for the bench, but Cabal and Boga are out with muscular problems.
Sassuolo: Murić; Van der Brempt, Idzes, Leysen, Doig; Bakola or Thorstvedt, Matić, Adžić; Berardi, Bowie, Laurienté.
Juventus: Vicario; Kalulu, Bremer, Lucumí, Çelik; Koopmeiners, Douglas Luiz; Conceição, González, Alajbegović; Kolo Muani.
Alberto Aquilani is expected to retain Murić in goal for Sassuolo. Juventus were presented with a possible 4-2-3-1 setup, although Spalletti may also consider using a three-player defence.
The historical record favours Juventus, who have defeated Sassuolo 16 times in Serie A and scored 56 goals against them. Their average of 2.3 goals per match against the Neroverdi is Juventus’ highest against any opponent currently in the division. However, Sassuolo have won two of their last three home league meetings with the Bianconeri, losing the other, after managing only one victory in the first nine home encounters.
The latest head-to-head meeting finished 1-1 on March 21, 2026. That result ended a sequence of nine consecutive meetings without a draw, consisting of six Juventus victories and three Sassuolo wins. Across the five-match head-to-head summary, Sassuolo have two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
The first half could provide the clearest statistical angle. Juventus have seen fewer than 1.5 first-half goals in each of their last ten Serie A matches, while at least one team has failed to score before the break in 33 of their last 35 games and 29 of their last 31 league fixtures. At the same time, Juventus have led at half-time in their last three Serie A away matches. Combined with Sassuolo’s run of 12 consecutive home league games featuring a first-half goal, the evidence supports the possibility of one early breakthrough rather than a high-scoring opening period.
Overall win probabilities give Juventus a 50% chance of victory, compared with 25% for Sassuolo and 25% for the draw. Both teams to score is rated at 53%, while the probabilities for over and under 2.5 goals are evenly split at 50%. Juventus’ stronger start and defensive stability make them difficult to oppose, but Sassuolo’s unbeaten eight-match home sequence should prevent the visitors from expecting a straightforward contest.
Sassuolo vs Juventus prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 76% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sassuolo
Juventus
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
2
8
8
2
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
6
4
10
0