Tools
Prediction published on Sep 26, 2025 3:42 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Sep 26, 2025 3:43 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Udinese promises to be an intriguing battle between two sides with contrasting starts to the season. Scheduled for Sunday, September 28, 2025, this fixture sees Sassuolo sitting in 14th place with just one league win so far, while Udinese occupy 9th spot after a more positive opening run. Both teams are coming off midweek Coppa Italia matches, but their fortunes could not have been more different: Sassuolo were heavily beaten by Como, while Udinese advanced with a victory over Palermo. With recent head-to-head encounters often ending in stalemates, this match could once again be closely contested, though Udinese’s form suggests they may have the edge.
Sassuolo have endured a difficult start to the 2025/26 campaign, struggling to find consistency both in Serie A and in cup competitions. Their most recent outing ended in a disappointing 3-0 defeat to Como in the Coppa Italia, underlining their current vulnerabilities. In the league, they have managed just one win from four matches, with no draws and three defeats. Their attacking output has been modest, averaging 1.0 goals scored per game, while defensively they have looked fragile, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match.
Looking at their last five fixtures across all competitions, Sassuolo have recorded 1 win and 4 losses, scoring only 0.8 goals per game while conceding 2.0. This poor run highlights their struggles at both ends of the pitch. Historically, Sassuolo have also found it difficult against Udinese, failing to win in their last five head-to-head meetings, with four draws and one defeat. Their last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on April 1, 2024. Despite their struggles, Sassuolo have been consistent in at least finding the net, with over 0.5 goals scored in 37 of their last 38 matches, suggesting they are rarely shut out completely.
Udinese arrive at this clash in much better shape, having collected two wins, one draw, and one defeat from their opening four Serie A matches. They bounced back strongly from a 3-0 league loss to AC Milan by defeating Palermo 2-1 in the Coppa Italia, showing resilience and the ability to recover quickly. Their season averages stand at 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, reflecting a balanced but competitive approach.
In their last five matches across competitions, Udinese have registered 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding 1.2. Importantly, they have been effective away from home, winning both of their away fixtures so far this season. Another notable trend is that under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 10 away Serie A matches, suggesting that their games on the road tend to be tight and controlled affairs. While Udinese have not dominated Sassuolo in recent years, their current form and away record provide reasons for optimism heading into this encounter.
This fixture brings together two sides with very different trajectories. Sassuolo are still searching for rhythm and confidence, having faced a tough opening schedule that included three of last season’s top seven teams. Their defensive frailties and lack of cutting edge in attack have been evident, and their heavy Coppa Italia defeat to Como only deepened concerns. On the other hand, Udinese have shown greater stability and resilience, with their ability to grind out results making them the more reliable side at this stage of the season.
Head-to-head history suggests a close contest, with the last three meetings all ending in draws. However, Udinese’s sharper form and stronger away performances could tilt the balance in their favor. Sassuolo’s tendency to concede goals, combined with Udinese’s ability to capitalize on opportunities, makes the visitors slight favorites. That said, Sassuolo’s knack for at least finding the net means this could be another competitive and potentially high-scoring affair.
Sassuolo vs Udinese prediction by BetMines:
The best value pick for this match is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a probability of 57%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sassuolo
Udinese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1