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SC Cambuur
12:30 PM
October 18, 2026
AZ Alkmaar
Prediction published on Oct 16, 2026 12:35 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Oct 16, 2026 12:35 PM
SC Cambuur host AZ Alkmaar at Kooi Stadion on October 18, 2026, in the ninth round of the Eredivisie season. The home side have recovered from four consecutive league defeats at the start of the campaign and are unbeaten in their last four matches. AZ arrive with six wins from their first eight league fixtures, although their recent defeat to Feyenoord cost them first place. With Cambuur improving and AZ looking to respond, this SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar preview centres on whether the hosts can withstand one of the league’s more productive attacks.
SC Cambuur have taken eight points from their last four matches, a sharp improvement on a start that brought four straight defeats. Their recent results include victories over PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen; Cambuur beat PEC Zwolle 0-1 on October 11. Across their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. That run gives them reason to approach this fixture with greater confidence, even if AZ represent a difficult test.
The broader Eredivisie figures show why defensive consistency remains a concern. Cambuur are 12th with two wins, two draws and four losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match. Earlier defeats included 0-4 against Excelsior, 2-5 against Feyenoord and 1-4 against FC Twente. Those scorelines underline the challenge of facing an AZ side averaging more than two goals per league game.
There are attacking positives for the hosts. Cambuur have scored at least once in 37 of their last 40 matches, while their 3-0 win over NEC Nijmegen showed their ability to turn an opportunity into a convincing result. Goals have also featured after the break: at least one second-half goal has been scored in each of Cambuur’s last 15 matches and each of their last 13 home matches. Those are totals for the games as a whole, not goals scored solely by Cambuur. The hosts have nevertheless lost at half-time in six of their last ten matches, making a strong opening especially valuable against AZ.
AZ Alkmaar are third in the Eredivisie after six wins, one draw and one defeat in their opening eight league matches. Their only league loss so far came against Feyenoord, ending a run that had kept them at the top. AZ’s league averages of 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match point to both attacking strength and a tighter overall defensive record than Cambuur’s.
Victories over Go Ahead Eagles, SC Heerenveen and FC Utrecht offer examples of AZ’s scoring potential. They beat those opponents 5-2, 3-2 and 4-1 respectively, results that suggest Cambuur’s defence could face sustained pressure. AZ have also won at half-time in six of their last ten Eredivisie matches, another indicator of their ability to make an early impact.
The visitors’ most recent result was a 2-1 win over Hapoel Be’er Sheva on October 15. Their last-five-match figures are less emphatic than their league record: two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. That contrast gives Cambuur some encouragement. AZ have the stronger season-long numbers, but their recent results do not make this away fixture a formality.
The central question is whether Cambuur’s recent improvement can hold up against AZ’s league scoring record. The hosts’ four-match unbeaten run is meaningful after their difficult start, and their long sequence of matches with a goal scored gives them a route into the contest. At the same time, conceding 2.4 goals per Eredivisie match leaves little margin for error against visitors who have already scored four or more against Go Ahead Eagles and FC Utrecht.
The previous meetings add another challenge for Cambuur. From the home side’s perspective, the head-to-head summary stands at no wins, one draw and four defeats, with averages of 0.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The last meeting finished 2-1 on February 25, 2023. Those results favour AZ historically, though Cambuur’s current unbeaten sequence makes their recent form relevant to this fixture.
The supplied match probabilities give AZ a 46% chance of winning, compared with 32% for Cambuur and 22% for a draw. The goals figures also stand out: both teams to score is rated at 64%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is 65%. Cambuur’s defensive average, AZ’s league attacking output and the hosts’ record of scoring in 37 of their last 40 matches together make goals a compelling theme. AZ will be aiming to recover from their league defeat to Feyenoord, but Cambuur have shown enough lately to make this more than a straightforward test for the visitors.
SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
SC Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
6
4
3.5
3
7
7
3
4.5
8
2
7
3