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SC Freiburg
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Borussia Mönchengladbach
Prediction published on Feb 20, 2026 4:01 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Feb 20, 2026 4:01 PM
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides searching for consistency. Scheduled for Sunday, February 22, this fixture brings together two teams whose recent performances have left fans wanting more. Freiburg currently sit eighth in the Bundesliga standings, while Gladbach occupy 13th place, trailing their hosts by several points. Both teams are eager to find form as the season enters a crucial phase, with Freiburg looking to maintain their strong home record and Gladbach desperate to halt their winless run.
SC Freiburg have endured a mixed run of results in recent weeks. Their last five matches have produced just one win, one draw, and three defeats, including a disappointing 3-0 loss to Hoffenheim on February 14. Despite this inconsistency, Freiburg’s overall season record remains balanced with 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. The team’s attacking output has dipped slightly, but their defensive structure at home continues to be a major strength.
Playing at home has been a completely different story for the Breisgau side. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 18 home matches across all competitions, and in their last 13 Bundesliga home fixtures as well. Moreover, Freiburg have avoided defeat at half time in 21 of their last 22 matches, showing their ability to stay competitive from the start. They have also led at the break in 6 of their last 10 home games, underlining their strong starts in front of their supporters.
Injuries and suspensions have slightly disrupted their rhythm, with key midfielders missing out, but the team’s home form remains a major asset. Freiburg’s attacking leader, who has already netted six league goals, will once again be crucial in breaking down the opposition defense. With their solid home record and the backing of their fans, Freiburg will aim to extend their unbeaten streak against Gladbach, having not lost to them in their last five head-to-head meetings.
Borussia Mönchengladbach enter this match in a difficult period. Their last five games have yielded no wins, three draws, and two defeats, including a heavy 3-0 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt in their most recent outing. Over the course of the season, the Foals have managed 5 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, scoring an average of 1.1 goals per game while conceding 1.7. Their attacking struggles have been evident, with only two goals scored in their last five matches, and their defensive vulnerabilities have cost them valuable points.
Gladbach’s away form has been particularly concerning. Although they have managed to score in most of their recent away matches, their defensive record remains fragile. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 19 of their last 20 away fixtures, suggesting that their matches often open up after the break. However, their inability to convert chances into wins has left them hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone, just three points above the playoff spot.
Injuries and suspensions have further complicated their situation, with several key players unavailable. Their top scorer, who has netted ten goals this season, will need to deliver another strong performance if Gladbach are to have any chance of taking points from this trip. The team’s recent away defeats — including losses to Frankfurt, Hoffenheim, and Dortmund — highlight the scale of the challenge they face in Freiburg.
When these two sides meet, history tends to favor SC Freiburg. The hosts have not lost any of their last five encounters with Gladbach, winning three and drawing two. Their home dominance is further emphasized by the fact that they have only ever lost once to Gladbach at home, way back in 2002. The most recent meeting between the teams ended in a goalless draw on October 5, 2025, but Freiburg’s current home form suggests a more decisive outcome could be on the cards this time.
Freiburg’s ability to control matches at home, combined with Gladbach’s ongoing struggles on the road, makes the hosts the clear favorites. The visitors’ lack of attacking efficiency and defensive lapses have been costly, while Freiburg’s consistency at home has been one of the bright spots of their season. The Breisgau side’s strong first-half performances and their tendency to find the net in front of their fans could once again prove decisive.
Statistically, Freiburg’s win probability stands at 57%, compared to 24% for a draw and 20% for a Gladbach victory. Both teams to score is rated at 51%, while the Over 2.5 goals market sits evenly balanced at 51% for Over and 49% for Under. Given these numbers and the current form of both sides, a home win appears the most likely outcome.
Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
8
2
8
2