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Prediction published on Dec 1, 2025 5:04 PM by Dario in Germany - DFB Pokal | Modified on Dec 1, 2025 5:04 PM
SC Freiburg and Darmstadt 98 meet in the DFB-Pokal Round of 16 on Wednesday, December 3, in a clash that promises intensity and contrasting ambitions. The hosts are looking to build consistency before the winter break, while the visitors dream of a historic quarter-final appearance. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00, and the Schwarzwald-Stadion crowd will expect their team to continue their strong home form. The two sides have met only twice since 2017, with Freiburg winning once and drawing once in the 2023/24 season. Their last cup encounter dates back to 2001, when Darmstadt triumphed on penalties.
SC Freiburg approach this cup tie in solid form, having beaten FSV Mainz 05 4-0 in their most recent Bundesliga outing. That result extended their unbeaten home streak to four matches and confirmed their attacking efficiency in front of their fans. In the DFB-Pokal, Freiburg have been flawless so far, winning both previous rounds away from home — 2-0 against Sportfreunde Lotte and 3-1 against Fortuna Düsseldorf. Their cup campaign has been marked by balance: an average of 2.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match.
Across their last five fixtures in all competitions, Freiburg have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The team’s attacking rhythm has improved significantly, and they have scored in each of their last 18 DFB-Pokal matches. Moreover, over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 17 cup games, and they have found the net in all of their last 13 home fixtures. The first halves at the Schwarzwald-Stadion have also been lively, with over 0.5 goals scored before the break in each of those 13 home matches.
Coach Christian Streich’s men have shown a strong mentality when playing in front of their supporters, often taking the lead early — they have been ahead at half-time in their last three home games. With confidence high after the Mainz victory, Freiburg will aim to maintain their momentum and secure a place in the quarter-finals for the first time in three seasons.
Darmstadt 98 arrive in Freiburg as one of the most consistent sides in the 2. Bundesliga, having lost only twice this season. Their recent 0-0 draw against Elversberg extended their unbeaten run to five matches (three wins, two draws). In the DFB-Pokal, the Lilies have impressed, eliminating Lübeck 2-1 and then producing a stunning 4-0 win over Schalke 04. Their cup record this season shows an average of 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game — a sign of both attacking potency and defensive stability.
Under coach Torsten Lieberknecht, Darmstadt have been efficient in front of goal, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last five matches. However, their away form remains a concern, as they have struggled to replicate their home performances on the road. Historically, the club has not reached the DFB-Pokal quarter-finals since 1987, and facing a top-flight opponent like Freiburg represents a significant challenge. Despite their recent progress, Darmstadt’s defensive line will need to be at its best to contain Freiburg’s attacking trio, which has been particularly effective at home.
In head-to-head terms, the balance slightly favors Freiburg, who have won two, drawn one, and lost one of the last four meetings. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Freiburg in April 2024. Given the difference in divisions and the hosts’ current form, Darmstadt will likely focus on compact defending and quick transitions to exploit any gaps left by the Bundesliga side.
This DFB-Pokal tie brings together two teams with contrasting objectives. Freiburg are determined to confirm their status as favorites and continue their strong home run, while Darmstadt aim to cause an upset and reach the last eight for the first time in nearly four decades. The hosts’ attacking depth, combined with their defensive discipline, makes them a formidable opponent, especially at the Schwarzwald-Stadion, where they rarely falter.
Freiburg’s recent performances suggest a team that thrives on early pressure and quick transitions, often taking control of matches before half-time. Darmstadt, on the other hand, have shown resilience and creativity in the final third, but their defensive structure could be tested by Freiburg’s dynamic front line. Given both teams’ recent scoring trends, a match with several goal opportunities seems likely, though Freiburg’s superior experience and home advantage should make the difference.
Historically, encounters between these sides have been tight, but Freiburg’s current momentum and Darmstadt’s limited experience against top-tier opposition tilt the balance toward the hosts. The Breisgau side’s consistency in the DFB-Pokal — scoring in every match since 2021 — further strengthens their case for progression.
Freiburg vs Darmstadt prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a SC Freiburg win (1) with a 50% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while a Darmstadt 98 win (2) stands at 26%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
SC Freiburg
Darmstadt 98
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
8
2
7
3