The Bundesliga returns from the international break with an exciting clash between SC Freiburg and FC Bayern München. The match is scheduled for Saturday, April 4, with kick-off at 15:30. Historically, meetings between these two sides in the Black Forest have been tight, often producing goals on both ends. This encounter promises to be no different, as both teams aim to continue their respective campaigns with strong performances.

SC Freiburg’s Recent Form and Key Stats

SC Freiburg come into this fixture after a 1-2 away win against St. Pauli on March 22, a result that helped them maintain a mid-table position in the Bundesliga. Over their last five matches, Freiburg have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 10 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.

One of Freiburg’s most consistent traits this season has been their resilience in the first half — they have avoided defeat at half time in 26 of their last 29 matches. However, defensive solidity remains a concern, as they have conceded in 88% of their recent home games. Despite this, the team often finds a way to score, having failed to find the net only once in their last seven home fixtures.

• Ranking: 8th in the Bundesliga


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 1D – 2L


• Average goals scored: 2.0 | Average conceded: 1.4


• BTTS in last 6 matches: 50%


• Haven’t lost at half time in 26 of last 29 games

Playing at home, Freiburg will rely on their attacking creativity and set-piece strength to challenge the league leaders. The team’s ability to score early could be crucial in unsettling their visitors, especially given Bayern’s attacking dominance.

FC Bayern München’s Recent Form and Key Stats

FC Bayern München travel to Freiburg in outstanding form, having defeated Union Berlin 4-0 on March 21. The reigning league leaders have been nearly unstoppable this season, boasting a record of 22 wins, 4 draws, and just 1 defeat. They average 3.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match in the Bundesliga, underlining their dominance on both ends of the pitch.

In their last five matches, Bayern have secured 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring an impressive 3.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.8. Their attacking consistency is remarkable — they have scored in each of their last 40 matches, and every one of their last 26 Bundesliga fixtures has featured at least one Bayern goal. Moreover, Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in 25 of their last 26 Bundesliga matches.

• Ranking: 1st in the Bundesliga


• Last 5 matches: 4W – 1D – 0L


• Average goals scored: 3.8 | Average conceded: 0.8


• Over 2.5 goals in 25 of last 26 Bundesliga matches


• Unbeaten in 25 of last 26 league games


• Scored in last 40 consecutive matches

Even away from home, Bayern’s attacking power remains relentless. They have scored at least two goals in 19 of their last 21 away matches and have not lost in 20 of their last 21 away fixtures. Despite several injury concerns, including key absences in defense and midfield, their offensive depth continues to deliver results. Harry Kane, who has already netted 31 Bundesliga goals this season, remains their most potent weapon and will be crucial in breaking down Freiburg’s defense.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The head-to-head record heavily favors FC Bayern München, who have won four of the last five meetings, including a dominant 6-2 victory in their most recent encounter on November 22, 2025. Freiburg, however, have shown fighting spirit at home, scoring in 82% of their last 11 home matches against Bayern. This suggests that while Bayern are clear favorites, the hosts are capable of finding the net.

From a tactical perspective, the match is likely to feature open play and attacking football. Freiburg’s approach will focus on compact defending and quick transitions, while Bayern will look to control possession and exploit spaces through their high-tempo offense. Given both teams’ recent scoring trends, the probability of Both Teams To Score (BTTS) appears high.

• Last head-to-head: 6-2 (November 22, 2025)


• Freiburg’s home scoring rate vs Bayern: 82%


• BTTS probability: 57%


• Over 2.5 goals probability: 61%

Injury updates indicate that Bayern will be without several key players, including Nicolas Jackson (suspension), Sven Ulreich, and Manuel Neuer. Doubts remain over Jonas Urbig and Aleksandar Pavlovic, while Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies are also sidelined. Despite these absences, Bayern’s attacking depth ensures they remain dangerous in front of goal.

Freiburg vs Bayern Prediction and Final Analysis

All indicators point toward a high-scoring encounter. FC Bayern München enter as clear favorites with a 56% win probability, while SC Freiburg have a 23% chance of victory and a draw stands at 22%. Given both sides’ offensive tendencies and Bayern’s defensive absences, the most likely scenario is that both teams will score. Freiburg’s home resilience and Bayern’s attacking firepower make this fixture particularly appealing for neutral fans and bettors alike.

Expect an entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action, where Freiburg’s determination could see them find the net, but Bayern’s superior quality and consistency should ultimately prevail.

Freiburg vs Bayern prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.