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Prediction published on Sep 26, 2025 2:02 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Sep 26, 2025 2:37 PM
SC Freiburg and TSG Hoffenheim meet on Sunday, September 28, 2025, in a Bundesliga clash at the Europa-Park-Stadion. Both sides are level on six points after four rounds, with Freiburg sitting seventh and Hoffenheim ninth, separated only by goal difference. This encounter promises to be an entertaining one, as both teams have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities in the early stages of the season.
Freiburg come into this fixture on the back of a strong run of results. Earlier this week, they defeated FC Basel 2-1 in the Europa League, extending their winning streak to three matches across all competitions. In the Bundesliga, they have recovered well from back-to-back defeats on the opening two matchdays, winning their last two league games. Their attacking output has been consistent, averaging 2.0 goals scored per match in the league, while conceding the same number on average.
One of the most striking aspects of Freiburg’s recent form is their ability to score regularly. They have found the net in each of their last 15 matches in all competitions, and in their last 13 Bundesliga fixtures. Furthermore, their home matches have been particularly high-scoring: each of their last six Bundesliga games at the Europa-Park-Stadion has produced over 3.5 goals. This trend suggests that fans can expect another open contest on Sunday.
Defensively, however, Freiburg remain vulnerable. They have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last five outings, which could be a concern against a Hoffenheim side that has been prolific in front of goal. Still, with two consecutive home wins behind them, Freiburg will be confident of extending their momentum in front of their supporters.
Hoffenheim arrive in Freiburg after a heavy 4-1 defeat to Bayern Munich in their most recent Bundesliga match. That result highlighted their defensive fragility, as they have now conceded at least one goal in 26 of their last 28 Bundesliga matches. Despite this, Hoffenheim’s attack has been firing, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match in their last five games across all competitions.
Interestingly, Hoffenheim’s away form has been excellent. They have won all three of their competitive away fixtures this season, and their matches on the road tend to be entertaining. In fact, each of their last 10 games in all competitions has produced over 2.5 goals, and they have scored in every one of their last 28 Bundesliga matches. This consistency in attack makes them a dangerous opponent, even if their defensive record leaves much to be desired.
Another key trend is Hoffenheim’s tendency to see goals in the second half. In their last 16 away matches, there has always been at least one goal scored after the break. This could be significant in a match where both sides are expected to push forward aggressively.
Historically, Freiburg have had the upper hand in this fixture. In the last five head-to-head meetings, they are unbeaten with four wins and one draw, including a thrilling 3-2 victory in April 2025. On average, these encounters have produced 3.6 goals per game, underlining the likelihood of another high-scoring affair.
Both teams are strong in attack but inconsistent at the back, which points towards another open contest. Freiburg’s home advantage and recent winning streak give them a slight edge, but Hoffenheim’s away form and attacking firepower mean they cannot be underestimated. With both sides averaging at least two goals scored per game this season, it is difficult to see either keeping a clean sheet.
Given the trends, fans should expect an entertaining and goal-filled clash. Freiburg will look to capitalize on their momentum and home support, while Hoffenheim will aim to bounce back from their Bayern defeat by relying on their attacking strengths. The balance of form suggests that this could be one of the standout fixtures of the Bundesliga weekend.
Freiburg vs Hoffenheim prediction by BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
SC Freiburg
TSG Hoffenheim
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
8
2
6
4