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SC Freiburg
5:00 PM
October 28, 2026
VfL Wolfsburg
Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 5:05 PM by Dario in Germany - DFB Pokal | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 5:05 PM
SC Freiburg host VfL Wolfsburg in the DFB Pokal on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 local time at Europa-Park Stadion. Freiburg enter the tie after three consecutive defeats, while second-tier Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last five matches. The hosts have the stronger recent head-to-head record, but both teams bring notable scoring form into a fixture that has produced goals at both ends in four of their last six meetings.
Freiburg lost 3-1 to FC Bayern München on October 25, extending their losing run to three matches. Across their last five games, they have recorded two wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 2.2 per match. That defensive record is a concern ahead of a cup tie against visitors who have scored freely of late.
There are stronger signs in Freiburg's attacking numbers. They scored five goals and conceded one in their DFB Pokal match so far this season, while finding the net in 21 of their last 22 matches in the competition. Igor Matanovic scored twice in the first cup round and could again be important to the home side's chances of turning attacking pressure into goals.
Recent matches at home have also offered plenty of goalmouth action: over 2.5 total goals have been scored in Freiburg's last nine home fixtures, and over 1.5 in their last 14. At least one first-half goal has been scored in each of their last 16 matches, so a quiet start would go against that run. Coach Julian Schuster has two stated absentees: Berkay Yilmaz is out following a dental operation, while young defender Bruno Ogbus has muscular problems.
Wolfsburg arrive after a 1-1 draw with VfL Bochum 1848 on October 23. They have won three and drawn two of their last five matches, averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over that stretch. Their latest result interrupted a sequence of wins, but it preserved an unbeaten run and leaves them with a stronger recent results record than Freiburg.
The visitors' attack gives them reason to believe they can trouble the hosts. The source material credits Wolfsburg with 2.83 goals per game across their last six outings, and Robert Glatzel has scored five times in eight matches this season. Keeping opponents out has been harder: Wolfsburg have conceded at least once in 19 of their last 20 away matches. Their recorded DFB Pokal season figures stand at one draw, with averages of two goals scored and two conceded.
Wolfsburg's matches have also featured a sustained run of high corner counts. Over 10.5 total corners have been taken in their last 11 matches and their last eight away games, while over 8.5 have been recorded in their last 12 DFB Pokal fixtures. Those figures point to another possible source of activity in this tie, although the more direct question is whether Wolfsburg can make their recent scoring form count against Freiburg.
Several players are unavailable to the visitors. Rogerio has a muscle injury, Fraser Hornby has an Achilles problem, Aster Vranckx is carrying an injury, and Trevor Benedict is also sidelined with an unspecified injury. Wolfsburg have nevertheless put together their five-match unbeaten run with those absences part of their recent situation.
The contrast in recent results makes this DFB Pokal meeting intriguing. Freiburg have home advantage and have lost only two of their last ten encounters with Wolfsburg, but their three-match losing streak gives the visitors an opening. Across the last five head-to-head games, Freiburg have three wins, one draw and one defeat; the most recent meeting finished 1-1 on May 3, 2026.
Goals at both ends are a recurring feature of the matchup, occurring in four of the last six meetings. The teams' current numbers offer a similar reason to watch both attacks: Freiburg have scored regularly in the cup despite conceding 2.2 goals per game across their last five overall, while Wolfsburg have averaged 3.4 scored across their last five and conceded in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. Freiburg's run of high-scoring home matches adds to the case for an open contest.
Neither side's recent record offers a simple answer to who will prevail. Freiburg will be looking to halt their run of defeats at home, whereas Wolfsburg have avoided defeat in five straight matches and had two more days of rest since their latest fixture. If the visitors maintain their attacking output and the hosts reproduce their cup scoring form, chances could arise at either end. That combination, rather than either team's result alone, is the clearest theme ahead of kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
1
9
3
7
3.5
4
6
3
7
4.5
6
4
5
5