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SC Freiburg
1:30 PM
August 30, 2026
Werder Bremen
Prediction published on Aug 28, 2026 2:52 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Aug 28, 2026 2:52 PM
SC Freiburg welcome Werder Bremen to the Europa-Park Stadion on Sunday, August 30, for a Bundesliga match kicking off at 13:30 local time. Freiburg enter the fixture after an emphatic European qualifying campaign and will aim to carry that momentum into domestic competition. The hosts are listed 17th in the Bundesliga rankings, while Werder Bremen are third. Recent results, attacking output and the direct record all favor Freiburg, but Werder arrive after recording a convincing cup victory of their own. With both sides having produced goals in their latest outings, this Bundesliga preview brings together two teams seeking a positive start in Freiburg im Breisgau.
SC Freiburg have demonstrated impressive early-season form across cup and European competition. They defeated Motherwell 3-1 and 4-1 in the Conference League play-offs, securing their place in the group stage, while their cup campaign began with a commanding 5-1 victory over Düsseldorf. Their most recent result was the 4-1 win against Motherwell on August 27.
The hosts have registered four wins and one defeat across their last five matches. During that sequence, they averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. That balance highlights Freiburg's attacking productivity, although their defensive record has left opportunities for opponents: they have conceded at least once in each of their last 13 matches.
Goals have been a regular feature of Freiburg's fixtures. Their last 13 games all produced more than 1.5 total goals, while at least one second-half goal was scored in each of their previous 19 matches. The same second-half trend has occurred in their last 13 Bundesliga games and their previous 12 home fixtures. Those numbers suggest that the contest could become increasingly open after the interval, even if the opening stages are more measured.
Freiburg have also been difficult to trail early in matches. They avoided a half-time deficit in 18 of their last 20 Bundesliga appearances and in 18 of their previous 20 home games. That record, combined with their recent scoring form, gives the home side a solid statistical platform for this meeting.
Igor Matanovic has already scored three times this season, while new arrival Keisuke Goto has contributed two goals. Freiburg have therefore found attacking contributions despite the departures of Yohan Manzambi and Merlin Röhl. Goalkeeper Noah Atubolu is also unavailable after being sent on loan to Frankfurt. Florent Muslija is a long-term absentee, and Berkay Yilmaz could miss out after recently being unavailable through illness.
Werder Bremen travel to Freiburg after beating LSK Hansa 3-0 on August 22 in the first round of the DFB-Pokal. That clean-sheet victory provides an encouraging immediate reference point, although the supplied recent-form figures list one win, no draws and two defeats within their last-five-match summary. Their averages over that period stand at 1.0 goal scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
The visitors' latest cup performance showed that they can take control of a match and convert chances without conceding. However, facing Freiburg represents a difficult challenge based on the direct record. Werder have lost four of the five matches included in the current head-to-head summary, winning the other one. Across those meetings, Freiburg averaged 2.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded.
Werder's personnel situation also contains several concerns. Eren Dinkci recently missed action with muscular problems, while Niklas Stark is working his way back into the team following an injury. Karl Hain, Mitchell Weiser, Felix Agu and new arrival Oskar Wojcik are also described as carrying physical issues. In addition, Karim Coulibaly, Mio Backhaus and Romano Schmid are no longer part of the Bremen squad, with Backhaus having moved to Freiburg.
Despite those issues, the 3-0 win over LSK Hansa means Werder approach this Bundesliga fixture with a positive result behind them. Their task will be to reproduce that efficiency against a Freiburg side that has been scoring frequently and has repeatedly controlled the first half of home matches.
The recent head-to-head evidence gives SC Freiburg a notable advantage. They have won seven of the last eight direct encounters, and the latest meeting finished 1-0 in their favor on February 7, 2026. In the five-match head-to-head summary supplied for this fixture, Freiburg hold four victories against one Werder success, with no draws.
These meetings have not always produced goals for both teams. Seven of the previous nine encounters ended without both sides scoring, while seven of Freiburg's last eight home matches against Werder stayed below 2.5 total goals. That history points toward a potentially controlled contest, especially if Freiburg once again limit the visitors effectively.
Recent form introduces a different angle. Freiburg's latest results have contained plenty of attacking output, including 12 goals across the two matches against Motherwell and the cup tie with Düsseldorf. Their last 13 fixtures have all exceeded 1.5 total goals, and they have conceded in 13 consecutive matches. The supplied match probabilities consequently give both Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals a 56% chance.
Nevertheless, the clearest overall advantage belongs to the home team. Freiburg are assigned a 52% win probability, compared with 24% for a draw and 24% for a Werder Bremen victory. Their four wins from five recent matches, strong scoring average and dominant direct record support that assessment. Werder's cup win deserves respect, but Freiburg's combination of home advantage, recent momentum and head-to-head superiority makes them the more convincing choice.
SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen prediction from BetMines: SC Freiburg win (1) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
0
10
5
5
2.5
2
8
7
3
3.5
4
6
8
2
4.5
6
4
8
2