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Prediction published on Jan 13, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - KNVB Beker | Modified on Jan 13, 2026 6:02 PM
The KNVB Cup continues with an exciting Round of 16 clash as SC Heerenveen host RKC Waalwijk on Thursday, January 15. A place in the quarter-finals is at stake, and both sides will be eager to extend their cup journey. The home team, currently competing in the Eredivisie, enter this fixture as the natural favourites, while their visitors from the Keuken Kampioen Divisie will look to cause an upset and keep their dream alive.
SC Heerenveen have shown solid form in recent weeks, drawing 2-2 against Feyenoord on January 11 and collecting three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches. During this period, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, underlining their attacking consistency. In the KNVB Beker, they remain unbeaten this season with two victories, scoring an average of 3.0 goals and conceding just one per match.
Their home performances have been particularly entertaining, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in each of their last ten home fixtures and at least one goal before half-time in all of them. This attacking rhythm often sets the tone early, making Heerenveen a dangerous side to face on their own turf. Additionally, over 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 20 matches, suggesting a dynamic and open style of play that keeps both defences busy.
Currently ranked first in the KNVB Beker standings, Heerenveen’s confidence will be high as they aim to reach the quarter-finals for the first time in several seasons. Their recent attacking displays against Sparta Rotterdam, Feyenoord, and Heracles Almelo before the winter break demonstrated their ability to dominate even strong opponents.
RKC Waalwijk approach this match as underdogs but with reasons for optimism. They ended the first half of the season with a convincing 0-2 win over Jong Ajax and a remarkable 0-9 victory against HSC’21 in the KNVB Beker. Despite these results, their overall form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three defeats in their last five outings. They have averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, showing both attacking potential and defensive vulnerability.
In the KNVB Beker, RKC have been prolific, winning both of their matches so far with an impressive average of 6.0 goals scored and only one conceded. They have also been quick starters, leading at half-time in their last three cup fixtures. Their matches tend to be open, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 12 KNVB Beker games and goals before half-time in all of them. Furthermore, both teams have scored in the second half in nine of their last fifteen matches, highlighting their tendency to be involved in end-to-end encounters.
Although RKC currently sit tenth in the Keuken Kampioen Divisie, their attacking form in the cup suggests they could trouble Heerenveen’s defence if given space. However, their defensive record remains a concern, especially against higher-tier opposition.
The recent meetings between SC Heerenveen and RKC Waalwijk have been competitive. Their last encounter ended 3-1 in May 2025, with Heerenveen taking the upper hand. Across their last five head-to-heads, Heerenveen have recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. These numbers suggest that goals are likely when these sides meet, and both teams have the attacking tools to find the net again.
Given the attacking trends from both sides, this match promises to be lively. Heerenveen’s home advantage and consistent scoring record make them favourites, but RKC’s recent goal-scoring form in the cup cannot be ignored. Expect an open contest with chances at both ends, especially in the second half where both teams tend to find the net.
Based on the available data, Both Teams To Score – Yes appears to be the most likely outcome, supported by a 65% probability. Both sides have shown strong attacking form and a tendency to concede, which aligns with the expectation of goals on both ends. Additionally, the Over 2.5 goals market (65% probability) also looks promising for those seeking higher-scoring action.
SC Heerenveen vs RKC Waalwijk prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – Yes (65% probability)
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
SC Heerenveen
RKC Waalwijk
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
8
2
3
7
4.5
9
1
6
4