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Prediction published on Feb 5, 2026 1:02 PM by Dario in Germany - 2. Bundesliga | Modified on Feb 5, 2026 1:02 PM
The 21st round of the 2. Bundesliga brings an intriguing clash between Schalke 04 and Dynamo Dresden. Despite their contrasting positions in the table, both sides have plenty at stake. Schalke are currently leading the standings, but their recent form has raised concerns, while Dresden are fighting to move further away from the relegation zone. With both teams eager for points, this encounter promises intensity and determination from start to finish.
Schalke 04 remain top of the 2. Bundesliga, but their momentum has slowed down in recent weeks. The team has gone four games without a win and suffered a 2-0 defeat against VfL Bochum 1848 on January 31, 2026. Over their last five matches, Schalke have recorded one victory, two draws, and two losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Despite this dip, their overall season record remains strong with 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding just 0.7.
At home, Schalke have been particularly dominant, winning seven of their nine matches in the Veltins-Arena. Their defensive consistency has also been notable, as they have not trailed at half time in 18 of their last 20 league fixtures. Matches involving Schalke tend to be tight affairs, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in 23 of their last 24 league games. This pattern suggests that while Schalke often control proceedings, they rarely engage in high-scoring encounters.
After the recent setback in the Ruhr derby, Schalke will be eager to bounce back in front of their fans. Their strong home record and defensive discipline make them favorites to return to winning ways.
Dynamo Dresden have shown signs of improvement in 2026, remaining unbeaten so far this year. They drew 1-1 against DSC Arminia Bielefeld on February 1, continuing a positive run that has seen them collect seven points from their last three matches. In their last five games, Dresden have achieved two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their season record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Offensively, Dresden’s matches tend to be open and entertaining. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 16 league fixtures, and they have conceded at least once in 19 of their last 20. Their defensive fragility is particularly evident away from home, where they have allowed goals in their last 15 away matches. However, they have also found the net consistently, with Over 0.5 goals at half time in each of their last 10 away games. This attacking intent could make them a dangerous opponent even against the league leaders.
Dresden’s recent performances show resilience and attacking promise, but their defensive issues remain a concern. Facing Schalke away will be a major test, especially given the hosts’ strong record at home and their motivation to end a winless streak.
The upcoming match between Schalke 04 and Dynamo Dresden presents a classic battle between a title contender and a team fighting for survival. Schalke’s home dominance and defensive organization contrast with Dresden’s open, goal-filled encounters. Historically, Schalke have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last four meetings and averaging 1.8 goals scored per game against Dresden.
While Dresden’s recent form suggests they could pose a threat, Schalke’s need to respond after recent setbacks should give them the edge. The hosts’ ability to control games and their impressive home record make them favorites to secure all three points. However, given Dresden’s attacking tendencies, both teams finding the net remains a realistic scenario.
Considering the statistical trends, a moderately high-scoring match could unfold, but Schalke’s defensive strength and home advantage are likely to be decisive factors.
Schalke 04 vs Dynamo Dresden prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with a 49% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Schalke 04
Dynamo Dresden
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
8
2