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Prediction published on Jul 30, 2025 10:51 AM by Dario in Germany - 2. Bundesliga | Modified on Jul 30, 2025 1:13 PM
On Friday, August 1st, the 2025/26 2. Bundesliga officially kicks off at the Veltins Arena with the opening matchday clash between Schalke 04 and Hertha BSC. The hosts narrowly avoided relegation last season, finishing 14th with just a three-point cushion above the drop zone. The Royal Blues paid the price for a leaky defense, which led the club to make a managerial change, appointing Miron Muslic as the new head coach. His primary task will be to solidify the defensive unit without diminishing the attacking output—one of the few positives from last year. That said, the departure of young playmaker Ibrahim Maza to Bayer Leverkusen raises concerns; he contributed 5 goals and 5 assists in last season’s campaign. Hertha BSC, on the other hand, wrapped up an uninspiring season in 11th place, finishing 14 points off the top three. Now entering their third consecutive season in the second tier, Leitl’s men aim to close the gap with the promotion contenders. One player expected to play a key role is new signing Dawid Kownacki, who netted 13 goals last season for Fortuna Düsseldorf. Given both Schalke 04 and Hertha BSC’s hunger to bounce back after underwhelming campaigns, an intense and hard-fought encounter is expected. A win in this opener is crucial for both sides—to boost confidence and lay the groundwork for a season where they hope to play leading roles instead of being mere spectators.
Schalke 04 ended their pre-season with a 4-2 loss to Sevilla, once again exposing their defensive weaknesses. That vulnerability at the back was a major issue last season, and in their last five official matches, Schalke managed only one draw and four defeats, conceding an average of two goals per game while scoring just 0.8.
Playing at home could be a significant advantage for Muslic's side, as it was at the Veltins Arena that they secured most of the points that ensured their survival. Schalke's home record last season stood at six wins, three draws, and eight losses. Surprisingly, despite fighting relegation, they were among the top-scoring teams at home in the league, netting 31 goals in 17 matches. However, they also had the worst home defensive record, conceding 35 goals—over two per game.
Hertha BSC kept faith in head coach Stefan Leitl over the summer and had a solid pre-season, concluding their friendly schedule with a 1-1 draw against Scottish side Motherwell. This result underlined Hertha's balance and compactness, as reflected in their last five official matches, where they averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Known as "The Old Lady" due to their long-standing history, Hertha ended last season on a high note, losing just one of their final nine matches. They were also consistent away from home in the 2024/25 2. Bundesliga, recording eight wins, three draws, and six losses. Their average away stats stood at 1.70 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game.
Clashes between Schalke 04 and Hertha BSC are traditionally high-scoring and entertaining affairs: the last nine meetings have featured at least three goals, and in the last seven, both teams found the net.
The Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC prediction from BetMines gives a 63% probability to both Over 2.5 goals and "both teams to score" outcomes—further highlighting the likelihood of a goal-filled contest.
Last season, Schalke averaged 1.82 goals per home game, led by Moussa Sylla, one of the league’s top scorers with 16 goals. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Malian striker find the net again in this season opener.
Hertha BSC, while a more balanced side under Muslic’s counterpart Leitl, have shown a consistent ability to score away from home thanks to the attacking threat of Fabian Reese, who bagged 11 goals in the previous 2. Bundesliga campaign.
Both teams boast productive attacks but also suffer from defensive fragilities, regularly giving their opponents clear scoring chances.
SCHALKE 04 (4-3-3): Karius; Donkor, El-Faouzi, Gantenbein, Grüger; Schallenberg, Antwi-Adjei, Becker; Katic, Sanchez, Sylla. Head Coach: M. Muslic
HERTHA BSC (4-4-2): Ernst; Krattenpacher, Eichberger, Dardai, Demme; Zeefuik, Karbownik, Cuisance, Leistner; Reese, Thorsteinsson. Head Coach: S. Leitl
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Schalke 04
Hertha BSC
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1