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Sevilla
7:30 PM
August 29, 2026
Atlético de Madrid
Prediction published on Aug 27, 2026 8:15 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Aug 27, 2026 8:15 PM
Sevilla welcome Atlético de Madrid for a La Liga fixture on August 29, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:30 local time at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Both teams remain unbeaten after two league matches, although Sevilla have made the stronger start with two victories from two. Atlético de Madrid have collected one win and one draw, making this an early test between the teams currently ranked second and fifth respectively. Their latest meeting also took place at this venue on April 11, when Sevilla earned a 2-1 victory.
Sevilla opened the La Liga season with consecutive victories for the first time since the 2007/08 campaign. They began by beating Rayo Vallecano 2-1, recovering after trailing 1-0 at half-time and scoring both goals from penalties, including one in the seventh minute of added time. Their second success came away to Athletic Club on August 22, with Sevilla winning 3-1 after their opponents were reduced to ten players in the 11th minute.
The home side therefore enter this match with a league record of two wins, no draws and no defeats. Their current La Liga averages stand at 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Looking at their five most recent fixtures, Sevilla have recorded four victories and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and allowing 1.0 per game.
Despite those positive results, the performances have not always been straightforward. Sevilla had to overturn a deficit against Rayo Vallecano, while Athletic Club continued to apply pressure even after going a player down. Nevertheless, the ability to respond in difficult circumstances has helped the hosts begin the competition with maximum points.
The squad has changed following the departures of Adams, Sánchez and Sow, while Ruben Vargas has not featured and is also expected to leave. Those four players combined for 22 goals and 15 assists for Sevilla in the 2025/26 La Liga season. For this fixture, Kike Salas is available again after completing a one-match suspension, strengthening the defensive options for the home team.
One notable trend concerns Sevilla’s league games at home. Each of their last 12 home matches in La Liga has finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals. That sequence suggests that, despite their productive start to the new season, matches at this ground have generally remained below a four-goal total.
Atlético de Madrid began their league campaign with a 2-0 victory over Málaga, scoring both goals after half-time. They then drew 2-2 with Villarreal on August 23. Atlético were behind and playing with ten men late in that contest, but recovered to secure a point. All four goals in the match arrived during the second half.
After two rounds, the visitors have registered one win, one draw and no defeats. They are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per league game. Across their last five matches, their record is two victories, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals both scored and conceded.
A clear feature of Atlético de Madrid’s league start has been their second-half production. All four of their La Liga goals have been scored after the interval. They found a way through twice against Málaga and then demonstrated their capacity to react under pressure against Villarreal, even with a numerical disadvantage near the end.
The visitors will be without Robin le Normand, who was sent off in the previous round. Cuti Romero, a recent signing, could make his debut as a replacement, while Pubill and Giménez are other options to accompany Hancko in defense. New arrivals Hjulmand and Kang-In Lee have also featured, while Alex Baena and Giuiliano Simeone have each already contributed a goal and an assist in the competition.
The available numbers point to a competitive contest with little separating the teams. The match win probabilities give Sevilla a 37% chance, Atlético de Madrid a 36% chance and the draw a 27% chance. Although the visitors are priced at 2.10 in the match-result market, compared with 3.60 for Sevilla and 3.30 for the draw, the statistical probabilities present a much more balanced picture.
Goals have been a recurring feature of both teams’ opening fixtures. Sevilla’s two league matches ended 2-1 and 3-1, while Atlético de Madrid produced a 2-0 win and a 2-2 draw. Consequently, every league game played by either side this season has contained at least two goals. The previous two direct encounters also cleared that threshold.
The latest head-to-head meeting ended in a 2-1 Sevilla victory. Across the five matches included in the supplied head-to-head summary, Sevilla have two wins and Atlético de Madrid have three, with no draws. Sevilla averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across that sequence, showing that these meetings have offered opportunities at both ends even though Atlético hold the better overall record.
Sevilla’s perfect start and home advantage are counterbalanced by Atlético de Madrid’s unbeaten opening and their ability to produce goals after the break. The hosts have scored five times in two league games but conceded in both, while Atlético have found the net four times and were breached twice by Villarreal. The probabilities assign 55% to both teams scoring and the same percentage to over 2.5 total goals.
The long run of under 3.5 goals in Sevilla’s home league matches provides an important counterpoint to the attacking numbers. It indicates that a competitive game with goals does not necessarily need to become extremely high-scoring. With Sevilla having scored and conceded in both league outings, Atlético having scored twice in each of theirs, and the latest direct meeting finishing 2-1, a contribution from each attack is the most coherent conclusion from the supplied trends.
Sevilla vs Atlético de Madrid prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sevilla
Atlético de Madrid
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2