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Sevilla
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Atlético Madrid
Prediction published on Apr 4, 2025 2:55 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 8, 2025 2:19 PM
Matchday 30 of La Liga brings us a classic Spanish football clash at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid. Both clubs have played key roles in the Spanish and European football scene in recent years, though this season has seen mixed fortunes for both. Sevilla, currently sitting 11th in the standings, are chasing a difficult comeback in their fight for European qualification. However, two consecutive defeats — against Athletic Bilbao and then in the Andalusian derby against Real Betis — have complicated their mission. In the derby, Sevilla took the lead after 17 minutes through Ruben Vargas, but Betis came back with goals from Johnny Cardoso and Cucho Hernandez. With that loss, Sevilla now trail sixth place by 11 points. Still, with nine games remaining, coach Garcia Pimienta hasn't lost hope. Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, are going through a rough patch. After a 1-0 loss to Barcelona in the Copa del Rey on Wednesday, they are out of the domestic cup and have already been eliminated from the Champions League. That leaves securing third place in La Liga as their only remaining goal. Diego Simeone’s side has picked up just one point in their last three league games and desperately needs to bounce back.
Sevilla had a positive run between February 16 and March 9, collecting 8 points in 4 games. However, back-to-back defeats have slowed down their European push. In their last five La Liga fixtures, they've registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
A major issue for Sevilla this season has been their home form. Their last victory at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán came on December 14. Since then, they’ve played 5 home matches, drawing 3 and losing 2, with just 4 goals scored and 8 conceded.
Atletico Madrid come into this match after a disappointing 1-1 draw with Espanyol, followed by the Copa del Rey semi-final loss to Barcelona. Simeone’s squad has only won 2 of their last 7 games in all competitions — a poor run by their standards.
Away from home in La Liga, the Colchoneros have collected 23 points from 14 games (6 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses). They average 1.43 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per away match — a solid record they’ll aim to maintain in Seville.
In the last five meetings between the two sides, Atletico Madrid have won four, with just one win for Sevilla. The most recent clash, on December 8, saw Atleti come from behind to win 4-3 after trailing 1-3 — a match where Antoine Griezmann shined with a brace, reaching 16 goals for the season.
Looking at the squads and current form, Atletico Madrid appear to have the edge. The 21-point gap between the sides in the standings is no coincidence. After experimenting with rotations against Espanyol, Simeone is expected to field his strongest possible lineup, except for suspended players Correa and Gimenez.
Considering the head-to-head record and Atletico’s determination to bounce back, the BetMines algorithm for Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predicts a clear victory of the visitors.
Sevilla (4-3-3): Nyland; Carmona, Bade, Salas, Pedrosa; Sow, Gudelj, Niguez; Lukebakio, Romero, Vargas. Coach: Pimienta
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Oblak; Marcos Llorente, Le Normand, Lenglet, Azpilicueta; G. Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Samuel Lino; Alvarez, Griezmann. Coach: Simeone
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2