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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga

Sevilla

1 - 2

FT

Atlético Madrid

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
César Soto Grado
few clouds 20.1 °C

Prediction published on Apr 4, 2025 2:55 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 8, 2025 2:19 PM

Matchday 30 of La Liga brings us a classic Spanish football clash at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid. Both clubs have played key roles in the Spanish and European football scene in recent years, though this season has seen mixed fortunes for both. Sevilla, currently sitting 11th in the standings, are chasing a difficult comeback in their fight for European qualification. However, two consecutive defeats — against Athletic Bilbao and then in the Andalusian derby against Real Betis — have complicated their mission. In the derby, Sevilla took the lead after 17 minutes through Ruben Vargas, but Betis came back with goals from Johnny Cardoso and Cucho Hernandez. With that loss, Sevilla now trail sixth place by 11 points. Still, with nine games remaining, coach Garcia Pimienta hasn't lost hope. Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, are going through a rough patch. After a 1-0 loss to Barcelona in the Copa del Rey on Wednesday, they are out of the domestic cup and have already been eliminated from the Champions League. That leaves securing third place in La Liga as their only remaining goal. Diego Simeone’s side has picked up just one point in their last three league games and desperately needs to bounce back.

 

Sevilla's recent form and key statistics

Sevilla had a positive run between February 16 and March 9, collecting 8 points in 4 games. However, back-to-back defeats have slowed down their European push. In their last five La Liga fixtures, they've registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

A major issue for Sevilla this season has been their home form. Their last victory at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán came on December 14. Since then, they’ve played 5 home matches, drawing 3 and losing 2, with just 4 goals scored and 8 conceded.

 

Atletico Madrid's recent form and key statistics

Atletico Madrid come into this match after a disappointing 1-1 draw with Espanyol, followed by the Copa del Rey semi-final loss to Barcelona. Simeone’s squad has only won 2 of their last 7 games in all competitions — a poor run by their standards.

Away from home in La Liga, the Colchoneros have collected 23 points from 14 games (6 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses). They average 1.43 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per away match — a solid record they’ll aim to maintain in Seville.

 

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction and tactical overview

In the last five meetings between the two sides, Atletico Madrid have won four, with just one win for Sevilla. The most recent clash, on December 8, saw Atleti come from behind to win 4-3 after trailing 1-3 — a match where Antoine Griezmann shined with a brace, reaching 16 goals for the season.

Looking at the squads and current form, Atletico Madrid appear to have the edge. The 21-point gap between the sides in the standings is no coincidence. After experimenting with rotations against Espanyol, Simeone is expected to field his strongest possible lineup, except for suspended players Correa and Gimenez.

Considering the head-to-head record and Atletico’s determination to bounce back, the BetMines algorithm for Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predicts a clear victory of the visitors. 

  • BetMines algorithm prediction for the match Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predicts the 1 sign at 23%
  • BetMines algorithm prediction for the match Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predicts the X sign at 24%
  • BetMines algorithm prediction for the match Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predicts the 2 sign at 53%

 

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predicted lineups

Sevilla (4-3-3): Nyland; Carmona, Bade, Salas, Pedrosa; Sow, Gudelj, Niguez; Lukebakio, Romero, Vargas. Coach: Pimienta

Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Oblak; Marcos Llorente, Le Normand, Lenglet, Azpilicueta; G. Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Samuel Lino; Alvarez, Griezmann. Coach: Simeone

Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid - Predictions

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Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Sevilla

Atlético Madrid

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Sevilla and Atlético Madrid in La Liga

Who will win ?

Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid be played?
The La Liga match between Sevilla and Atlético Madrid will be played on April 6, 2025 at 14:15.
Where will Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid be played?
The match between Sevilla and Atlético Madrid will be played at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla - Spain
Who will referee Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid?
The referee for the match will be César Soto Grado.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid in the La Liga?
The odds are: Sevilla to win 3.30, draw 3.20, Atlético Madrid to win 2.30.
What are the betting odds for Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.20 and Under 2.5 at 1.67.
Will both Sevilla and Atlético Madrid score in the La Liga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What are the head-to-head results between Sevilla and Atlético Madrid?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Sevilla and Atlético Madrid, Sevilla won 1 times, Atlético Madrid won 4, and 0 ended in a draw.

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