Tools
Sevilla
1 - 1
FT
Deportivo Alavés
Prediction published on Feb 12, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Feb 12, 2026 6:01 PM
The upcoming LaLiga clash between Sevilla and Deportivo Alavés brings together two sides level on points in the lower half of the table. Both teams sit just above the relegation zone, with Sevilla in 13th and Alavés in 14th, each holding 25 points. The Andalusian side has struggled to find consistency, while the visitors from Vitoria arrive after a difficult run of results. With only three points separating them from the drop zone, this encounter at the Sánchez Pizjuán could prove crucial in the battle for survival.
Sevilla have endured an erratic campaign, alternating between wins, draws, and defeats in their last five matches. Their recent 1-1 draw against Girona showed glimpses of improvement, but defensive lapses continue to cost them valuable points. Over the last five games, they have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Across the season, their record stands at seven wins, four draws, and twelve defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Despite the passionate support at the Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla have struggled to capitalize on home advantage, collecting 14 of their 25 points at home but failing to turn their stadium into a fortress. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 16 matches, a trend that highlights their tendency to come alive after the break. The same pattern holds true for their last 15 home fixtures in LaLiga, suggesting that late drama is almost guaranteed when they play in front of their fans.
In terms of personnel, Sevilla continue to deal with several absences through injury, including Castrín, Marcao, Januzaj, and Vargas. However, the team’s attacking options remain intact, and the likely starting lineup could feature Vlachodimos in goal, with Carmona, Azpilicueta, Gudelj, Salas, and Oso forming the defensive line. Agoumé, Mendy, and Peque are expected to control the midfield, while Akor Adams and Maupay lead the attack.
Deportivo Alavés arrive in Seville after back-to-back defeats, the latest being a 0-2 home loss to Getafe. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings. During this stretch, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Over the course of the season, their record mirrors Sevilla’s with seven wins, four draws, and twelve defeats, though they have been less prolific in attack, averaging 0.9 goals per game while conceding 1.3.
Alavés have also shown a pattern of second-half activity, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 11 matches. However, their away form remains a concern, as they have struggled to secure points on the road. Historically, though, they have managed to perform relatively well at the Sánchez Pizjuán, earning results in four of their last five visits, though most of those ended in draws.
For this encounter, Alavés will be without the suspended Jonny Otto and the injured Protestoni and Koski. The expected lineup could include Sivera in goal, with Tenaglia, Garcés, Pacheco, and Yusi in defense. Calebe, Pablo Ibáñez, Antonio Blanco, and Dennis Suárez are likely to feature in midfield, while Toni Martínez and Lucas Boyé lead the front line.
This fixture promises to be a tense and balanced affair between two sides desperate for points. Sevilla’s home advantage and slightly stronger attacking record could make the difference, especially considering Alavés’ recent struggles away from home. The Andalusians have shown signs of improvement in their last home outing, particularly in the second half, and will look to build on that momentum. Meanwhile, Alavés will aim to stay compact and exploit counterattacking opportunities, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed if Sevilla maintain pressure throughout the match.
Historically, the head-to-head record slightly favors Alavés, who have won three of the last five meetings, with Sevilla taking just one victory and one draw. The most recent encounter ended 1-0, suggesting that goals may be scarce once again. However, given the current dynamics, Sevilla appear better positioned to claim a narrow win and climb away from the relegation zone.
SEVILLA (probable XI): Vlachodimos; Carmona, Azpilicueta, Gudelj, Salas, Oso; Agoumé, Mendy, Peque; Akor Adams, Maupay.
DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS (probable XI): Sivera; Tenaglia, Garcés, Pacheco, Yusi; Calebe, Pablo Ibáñez, Antonio Blanco, Dennis Suárez; Toni Martínez, Lucas Boyé.
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 42% probability. A draw (X) stands at 26%, while an away win (2) is estimated at 32%. Given Sevilla’s stronger home record and Alavés’ recent defeats, the hosts are slightly favored to secure all three points.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sevilla
Deportivo Alavés
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
8
2
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0