Tools
Prediction published on May 10, 2025 7:57 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 13, 2025 11:29 AM
Sevilla couldn't even take advantage of a second-half numerical superiority last Saturday against Celta Vigo to avoid their 15th defeat in La Liga and secure a win that has now been missing for over three months. The Andalusians, who just two years ago lifted the UEFA Europa League trophy, are trudging toward the end of yet another disappointing season. Their only realistic goal left is to finish higher than the 14th place they managed last year, while also keeping an eye on avoiding a dangerous slide toward the relegation zone. Caparros' men, under his management since April 13, are still not safe from surprises, currently sitting 16th in the standings, only four points above 18th-placed Leganes and six clear of 19th-placed Las Palmas — their opponent in this Matchday 36 early fixture of La Liga. With nine points still to play for, this clash is a true relegation battle for both sides. At the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Stadium, Las Palmas are desperate to get back on the scoresheet after three straight defeats in La Liga against Athletic Bilbao, Valencia, and Rayo Vallecano. Their last victory came on April 19 — a 1-0 win over Atletico Madrid — following another three points a week earlier against Getafe. Given Sevilla’s current struggles, it's not unthinkable for Las Palmas to aim for a positive result here. A win would bring them within just one point of safety and give them real hope going into the final three decisive rounds of the season.
Sevilla are winless in their last eight matches, with two draws and six losses, including a 3-2 defeat away at Celta Vigo in their most recent outing. In their last five games, they’ve suffered three losses and earned two draws, averaging one goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their last win dates back to March 9 — a 0-1 away victory over Real Sociedad.
So far, they’ve collected 21 of their total 38 points at home, with a record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats. At the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, they average just 0.94 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. They haven't won a home game since last December, earning just five points from eight home matches in 2025 (all from draws).
Las Palmas come into this match after three consecutive losses — most recently a 0-1 home defeat to Rayo Vallecano, following losses to Athletic Bilbao and Valencia. These three slip-ups have kept them stuck on 32 points, coming from 8 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats — far too many for a team fighting to avoid relegation.
Despite their league position, Diego Martinez Penas’ side have performed decently away from home, collecting 15 points from 17 matches, thanks to 4 wins and 3 draws, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Recent away performances have been mixed — a 1-1 draw at Vigo, a 1-3 win at Getafe, and a narrow 1-0 loss in Bilbao.
Both Sevilla and Las Palmas are in serious trouble and are fighting to secure their top-flight status. Defensive weaknesses have been clear in recent weeks: Sevilla have conceded in eight consecutive matches, while Las Palmas have done so in their last three.
Las Palmas have managed to score regularly on the road in 2025, failing to find the net in only two of their eight away games and scoring three goals in their penultimate away match at Getafe. Sevilla, meanwhile, have only failed to score once at home since January and will be desperate to win this match to seal their safety before they face much tougher opponents — Real Madrid and Villarreal — in their final two fixtures.
This match is likely to feature several goal-scoring opportunities, driven more by defensive errors than attacking brilliance. This could also be the perfect moment for Dodi Lukebakio to get back on the scoresheet after more than two months without a goal. All signs point to a repeat of the reverse fixture, which ended 2-2.
For these reasons, the Sevilla vs Las Palmas prediction from the BetMines algorithm suggests a match with at least three total goals.
SEVILLA (4-2-3-1): Nyland; Carmona, Bade, Salas, Pedrosa; Agoume, Gudelj; Fernandez, Niguez, Sanchez; Lukebakio. Coach: Caparros
LAS PALMAS (4-3-3): Horkas; Viti, Suarez, Herzog, Marmol; J Munoz, Essugo, Bajcetic; Ramirez, McBurnie, Moleiro. Coach: Penas
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sevilla
Las Palmas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1