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Sevilla
2 - 1
FT
Rayo Vallecano
Prediction published on Aug 13, 2026 8:04 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Aug 13, 2026 8:04 PM
Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano meet on August 15, 2026, in an early La Liga fixture shaped by contrasting pre-season results. Sevilla begin the campaign with a renewed squad and encouraging recent form, while Rayo must respond after a difficult sequence of friendly matches. The hosts are listed 12th in the La Liga ranking and the visitors sixth, although this contest represents a fresh opportunity for both teams. Sevilla have won three of their last five matches, drawing once and losing once, whereas Rayo have recorded one victory and four defeats across the same period. Their latest head-to-head meeting finished 1-1 on March 8, 2026, adding another point of interest to a game involving two teams that have made significant changes during the summer.
Sevilla enter the league campaign after an extensive rebuilding process. Financial limitations prevented a radical transformation, but several departures and arrivals have still produced a refreshed squad. Fran González has strengthened the goalkeeping department, while Juan Iglesias, Julio Díaz and Sanganté provide additional defensive options. Guridi has joined the midfield, and the club has also been working on the possible arrival of Robbie Ure, who scored 20 league goals in Sweden last season.
The hosts produced a largely positive run of friendly results. Their preparations began with a 1-0 victory over Juventud Torremolinos, followed by a 1-0 defeat against Cracovia and a goalless draw with Córdoba. Sevilla then put together three consecutive wins, defeating Ceuta 2-1, Nijmegen 2-1 and Utrecht 1-0. Their most recent match ended in a 2-1 loss to Bayer 04 Leverkusen on August 8, 2026.
Across their latest five fixtures, Sevilla have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game during that sequence, numbers that underline a useful balance between attack and defence. Their league matches at home have also tended to remain controlled: each of Sevilla’s last 11 home games in La Liga has produced fewer than 3.5 total goals.
Despite a shortage of attacking pieces during pre-season, Miguel Sierra made a notable impact by scoring against Juventud Torremolinos, Ceuta and Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Peque contributed two goals and established himself as another important alternative. Rubén Vargas offers creativity in individual attacking situations, while Isaac Romero provides experience in the forward line. Alfon is the only physical doubt mentioned after suffering an injury at the beginning of pre-season.
Rayo Vallecano have retained much of their squad base, with Pep Chavarría identified as the main exception. The most significant change has come on the touchline. Íñigo Pérez left to take charge of Villarreal after overseeing a clearly defined approach during the previous two seasons, leaving successor Beñat San José with the demanding task of maintaining those standards.
The visitors can still rely on several creative attacking options. Isi, Álvaro García, De Frutos and Alemao offer different qualities in the final third, while Kumbulla has arrived on loan to reinforce central defence. During pre-season, Nteka, Álvaro García, Fran Pérez and Camello all found the net. However, the squad does not have a natural left-back according to the available information, and Luiz Felipe is the only confirmed absentee.
Rayo’s results during the preparation period were less convincing. They lost 2-1 against Hearts and suffered another 2-1 defeat against Feyenoord before earning a 3-2 win over Charleroi. Their final friendly brought a 3-0 loss to Ipswich Town on August 8, 2026. Across the four matches detailed, Rayo conceded nine times and scored five goals.
Their broader five-game record stands at one win and four defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per fixture. Rayo’s La Liga away trends provide further context: there has been at least one first-half goal in each of their last 11 away league matches, and they have been behind at half-time in eight of those 11 games. Those figures place particular importance on how the visitors handle the opening stages.
The recent numbers give Sevilla the stronger platform. Their three victories in the last five matches contrast sharply with Rayo’s four defeats, while their average of 0.8 goals conceded is considerably lower than the visitors’ average of 2.0. The hosts’ renovated squad must still adapt to its changes, but the results of their preparation suggest that the transition has already produced some positive signs.
Rayo Vallecano nevertheless possess enough attacking variety to make the contest competitive. Their five goals across four specified friendlies demonstrate that they can create and convert opportunities, even though defensive difficulties have repeatedly undermined their work. The visitors will need to avoid another slow start, especially given their record of trailing at half-time in eight of their last 11 La Liga away fixtures.
The head-to-head record also favours Sevilla. Across the supplied summary, they have collected three wins and two draws without defeat against Rayo, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The latest meeting ended 1-1, showing that the visitors can still offer resistance. Sevilla’s run of 11 home league games under 3.5 total goals points toward another relatively measured contest, but Rayo’s recent defensive record means the hosts may receive opportunities if they apply pressure effectively.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
6
4
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
10
0
9
1
4.5
10
0
9
1