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Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga 17-05-2026

Sevilla

0 - 1

FT

Real Madrid

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
José María Sánchez Martínez
overcast clouds 20.48 °C

Prediction published on May 16, 2026 7:01 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 16, 2026 7:01 AM

The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Real Madrid promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the La Liga season. Taking place at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, this match corresponds to round 37 and arrives at a crucial moment for both sides. While the hosts are still fighting to secure their top-flight status, the visitors approach the encounter with confidence after another solid campaign near the top of the table. The history between these two clubs has often produced intense and emotional battles, and this weekend’s meeting is expected to be no different.


Sevilla’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Sevilla come into this game after a thrilling 2-3 away victory over Villarreal, a result that boosted their hopes of finishing the season on a positive note. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their overall La Liga record stands at 12 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.


At home, Sevilla have been involved in relatively tight contests, with under 3.5 goals scored in each of their last ten league games at the Sánchez-Pizjuán. Another consistent trend is their ability to find the net after the break — over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 36 of their last 40 matches. These numbers suggest that Sevilla often grow into matches and tend to be more dangerous as the game progresses.



  • Ranking in La Liga: 11th place

  • Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 1.4 | Average conceded: 1.4

  • Under 3.5 goals in last 10 home matches

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 36 of last 40 matches


Despite their inconsistent season, Sevilla’s fighting spirit remains intact. Facing one of the league’s strongest teams, they will rely on their home crowd and determination to make life difficult for their opponents. Every point counts at this stage, and the hosts will be eager to prove that they can compete against elite opposition.


Real Madrid’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Real Madrid travel to Andalusia after a comfortable 2-0 home win against Real Oviedo. The visitors have been one of the most consistent sides in the competition, sitting second in the table with 25 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats. They average 2.0 goals scored and just 0.9 conceded per match, underlining their balance between attack and defense.


In their last five matches, Real Madrid have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat, maintaining an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their attacking power has been evident throughout the campaign, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 14 league matches and in 12 consecutive away fixtures. Moreover, they have scored at least once in 20 of their last 21 away games, showing remarkable consistency on the road.



  • Ranking in La Liga: 2nd place

  • Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  • Average goals scored: 1.4 | Average conceded: 0.8

  • Over 1.5 goals in last 14 matches

  • Over 1.5 goals in last 12 away matches

  • Under 3.5 goals in last 11 away matches

  • At least 1 goal scored in 20 of last 21 away matches

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 20 of last 21 away matches


Real Madrid’s attacking trio has been decisive all season, and their ability to score in virtually every match makes them a constant threat. Their recent dominance in head-to-head encounters also plays a psychological role — they have won four of the last five meetings against Sevilla, including a 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season.


Sevilla vs Real Madrid Tactical Overview and Prediction


This fixture brings together two teams with very different motivations. Sevilla are desperate to secure their safety, while Real Madrid aim to finish the season strongly and maintain their momentum. The hosts will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on defensive organization and quick transitions, while the visitors are expected to dominate possession and create chances through their dynamic attack.


Historically, this matchup has favored the visitors, who have gone unbeaten in the last 14 meetings between the sides. The statistics also point toward a game with goals, as both teams tend to find the net regularly. However, given Sevilla’s recent home trend of low-scoring matches and Real Madrid’s disciplined defense, the total number of goals might remain moderate.


According to the data, the win probabilities stand at 28% for Sevilla, 24% for a draw, and 48% for Real Madrid. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market shows a 53% likelihood, while Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53%. These figures suggest a balanced but slightly open contest, where Real Madrid’s superior quality could make the difference.


Sevilla vs Real Madrid prediction by BetMines:
Real Madrid win (2) with 48% probability.

Sevilla vs Real Madrid - Predictions

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Sevilla vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Sevilla

Real Madrid

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Sevilla and Real Madrid in La Liga

Who will win ?

Sevilla vs Real Madrid: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Sevilla vs Real Madrid be played?
The La Liga match between Sevilla and Real Madrid will be played on May 17, 2026 at 17:00.
Where will Sevilla vs Real Madrid be played?
The match between Sevilla and Real Madrid will be played at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla - Spain
Who will referee Sevilla vs Real Madrid?
The referee for the match will be José María Sánchez Martínez.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Sevilla vs Real Madrid in the La Liga?
The odds are: Sevilla to win 3.10, draw 3.50, Real Madrid to win 2.15.
What are the betting odds for Sevilla vs Real Madrid for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.72 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both Sevilla and Real Madrid score in the La Liga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.61, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.20.
What is the most likely correct score for Sevilla vs Real Madrid in the La Liga?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Sevilla and Real Madrid?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Sevilla and Real Madrid, Sevilla won 0 times, Real Madrid won 4, and 1 ended in a draw.

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