Tools
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 - 2
FT
Lech Poznań
Prediction published on Mar 18, 2026 1:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Mar 18, 2026 1:02 AM
The upcoming Europa Conference League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and KKS Lech Poznań promises to be a thrilling second leg encounter. The Ukrainian side holds a 3-1 advantage from the first leg and will look to finish the job at home. However, the Polish visitors have shown they can create danger, having produced several big chances in the first meeting. With both teams coming off recent victories, this match could deliver another high-intensity battle as they fight for a place in the next round.
Shakhtar Donetsk enter this decisive fixture in outstanding form. The Pitmen have recorded five consecutive wins in all competitions, including a recent 1-0 victory over Metalist 1925 Kharkiv on March 15, 2026. Over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.2 goals, underlining their defensive solidity and attacking consistency. In the Europa Conference League, their season record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
The Ukrainian champions have been particularly resilient, remaining unbeaten in their last 15 matches across all competitions. Their ability to maintain control early in games is also notable — they have not lost at half time in 35 of their last 39 matches. Furthermore, at least one team failed to score before the break in 28 of their last 30 fixtures, suggesting a cautious approach in the opening stages. Despite this, Shakhtar’s attack has been efficient, finding the net in 16 consecutive competitive games. With such momentum, they will aim to capitalize on their home advantage to secure progression.
KKS Lech Poznań travel to this second leg with a mountain to climb but also with renewed confidence after a 1-0 away win over Zagłębie Lubin on March 15, 2026. That result ended a three-game losing streak and restored belief within the squad. Over their last five matches, Lech have registered 2 wins and 3 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. In the Europa Conference League, their campaign has been solid overall, with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 1.8 goals per match and conceding 1.2.
Lech’s attacking consistency has been one of their main strengths — they have scored in each of their last 17 Conference League matches. Their first-leg performance against Shakhtar showed they can create danger, generating an expected goals value of 1.45. Moreover, they have been strong starters, unbeaten at half time in their last 14 away matches and leading at the break in 3 consecutive away games in this competition. With such resilience, the Polish side will look to strike early and put pressure on the hosts.
The first leg between these two sides ended 3-1 in favor of Shakhtar Donetsk, a result that gives them a comfortable cushion but not complete safety. The Ukrainian side’s balanced approach — combining disciplined defending with quick transitions — has been key to their recent success. Their ability to control possession and exploit counterattacks could once again prove decisive, especially if Lech commit players forward in search of goals.
Lech Poznań, on the other hand, will need to take risks. Their attacking record suggests they can find the net, but they must also tighten up defensively to avoid conceding early. The visitors’ best chance lies in maintaining their strong first-half performances and converting early opportunities to reduce the aggregate deficit. Given both teams’ recent scoring trends, this match could see goals at both ends, particularly as Lech push forward and Shakhtar exploit the spaces left behind.
The only recent meeting between these sides came on March 12, 2026, when Shakhtar Donetsk triumphed 3-1 away. That result highlights their attacking superiority but also shows that Lech Poznań are capable of finding the net. On aggregate, Shakhtar have scored 3 goals and conceded 1 in this matchup, maintaining a perfect head-to-head record so far.
Considering the attacking consistency of both teams and their recent scoring patterns, this second leg is expected to be another open contest. Shakhtar Donetsk have been nearly flawless at home, while Lech Poznań have shown determination and the ability to score in every Conference League match this season. The combination of Shakhtar’s offensive efficiency and Lech’s need to chase goals suggests that both sides are likely to find the net once again.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs KKS Lech Poznań prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznań
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
1
9
4
6
3.5
4
6
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1