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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2025 7:28 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Oct 22, 2025 7:29 AM
Shamrock Rovers return to Dublin for matchday two of the 2025/26 UEFA Conference League, where they will host an in-form NK Celje. After a disappointing start to the group stage, the Irish champions are under pressure to secure their first points, while the Slovenian side arrive full of confidence following a strong run of results both domestically and in Europe. This encounter at Tallaght Stadium promises to be an intriguing clash between two teams with contrasting momentum.
Shamrock Rovers suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat on matchday one and have now lost three of their last four matches in all competitions. Their most recent setback came against St Patrick’s on October 17, marking a second consecutive loss by the same scoreline. Despite these results, the Hoops have shown resilience at home, boasting 12 wins from their last 17 home fixtures (W12, D4, L1). They have also avoided trailing at half time in 20 of their last 21 home games, a sign of their ability to stay competitive early in matches.
In the Conference League, Shamrock’s record this season stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. However, their attack has struggled to find consistency, particularly in recent weeks. The Irish side’s last five matches have produced an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, suggesting a balance between offensive effort and defensive vulnerability. Low-scoring games have been a recurring theme, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in three of their last 13 home fixtures and in two of their last ten Conference League matches.
Playing in front of their supporters could provide a much-needed boost, but the Rovers will need to rediscover their scoring touch if they are to challenge a Celje side that has been prolific in front of goal. Their defensive organization will also be tested against one of the most efficient attacking units in the competition.
NK Celje arrive in Dublin in excellent form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions (W4, D1). Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw against Olimpija Ljubljana on October 18, but prior to that, they had scored an impressive 19 goals in six matches. The Slovenian champions have been dominant both domestically and in Europe, winning nine of their last eleven games and drawing the other two.
In the Conference League, Celje’s record is equally impressive: 4 wins and 1 defeat, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their attacking consistency is remarkable, with at least one goal scored in 39 of their last 40 matches and Over 0.5 goals recorded in all but one of those fixtures. Away from home, they have been particularly effective, scoring in each of their last 22 away games and producing Over 1.5 goals in 19 consecutive away fixtures. Furthermore, Celje have not lost in 20 of their last 21 away matches, underlining their resilience on the road.
Celje’s attacking power was on full display in their 3-1 victory over Athens on matchday one, a result that showcased their ability to combine efficiency with creativity. Their offensive rhythm often starts early, as evidenced by Over 0.5 goals at half time in 26 of their last 27 matches. With such consistency, the visitors will look to maintain their momentum and strengthen their position near the top of the group standings.
This fixture brings together two sides with very different trajectories. Shamrock Rovers are searching for stability after a difficult run of results, while Celje continue to impress with their attacking flair and defensive discipline. The Irish side’s strong home record could make this a competitive contest, but their recent struggles in front of goal may limit their chances of securing a positive result.
Celje’s attacking statistics are difficult to overlook. They have scored in nearly every match this season and have consistently produced high-scoring encounters, particularly away from home. Their ability to find the net early and maintain control throughout the game could prove decisive against a Shamrock defense that has shown signs of vulnerability. The visitors’ confidence and form suggest they will approach this match with an attacking mindset, aiming to secure another valuable win in their European campaign.
Historically, these teams have met twice before, with one win each and an average of 1.0 goal scored per side. However, given Celje’s current form and scoring rate, this encounter could produce more goals than previous meetings. Shamrock’s best hope may lie in keeping the game tight and capitalizing on set pieces or counterattacks, but they will need to be at their defensive best to contain Celje’s dynamic forward line.
Shamrock Rovers vs NK Celje prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Shamrock Rovers
Celje
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3