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Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 3
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Derby County
Prediction published on Dec 13, 2025 9:02 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Dec 13, 2025 9:02 PM
The upcoming Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County promises to be an intriguing battle between two sides with contrasting fortunes. Scheduled for Monday, this fixture sees Wednesday rooted to the bottom of the table, while Derby sit mid-table and aim to climb higher. Both teams are eager to turn their recent draws into victories, and with defensive frailties on both sides, fans could be in for an open contest.
Sheffield Wednesday have endured a difficult campaign so far, struggling both on and off the pitch. The club’s 18-point penalty has left them with a negative tally, and their on-field performances have done little to ease the pressure. They have managed just one win in 19 league matches, drawing six and losing twelve. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Watford on December 9, a result that at least halted a run of defeats but did little to improve their position.
Defensively, Wednesday have been far from solid. They have conceded at least one goal in 30 of their last 32 matches and in 27 of their last 29 Championship fixtures. At home, the trend continues, with goals conceded in each of their last 20 home games. The team’s average of 2.0 goals conceded per match highlights their vulnerability at the back, while their attack has struggled to make up for it, averaging just 0.8 goals scored per game.
In terms of recent form, Wednesday’s last five matches have produced no wins, one draw, and four defeats. They have also failed to win in 23 of their last 24 matches overall, and in 19 of their last 20 home games. These numbers underline the scale of the challenge they face as they prepare to host Derby County.
Derby County arrive at Hillsborough looking to rediscover their winning touch after a run of three matches without victory. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw against Millwall on December 10, a slight improvement following back-to-back defeats. Despite this, the Rams remain in a relatively stable position in the table, sitting 16th with a record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses.
Derby’s attacking output has been more consistent than their hosts’, averaging 1.4 goals scored per match while conceding 1.5 goals per game. Away from home, they have shown resilience, collecting 14 of their 27 points on the road and winning four of their nine away fixtures. Their first-half performances have been particularly strong, having led at half time in seven of their last ten Championship matches and in four consecutive away games.
Another notable trend is Derby’s involvement in lively second halves. There have been over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 19 of their last 20 away matches, suggesting that their games often open up after the break. However, their defensive record remains a concern, with just one clean sheet in their last ten away fixtures.
Historically, Sheffield Wednesday have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last six meetings, Derby have failed to record a win, while Wednesday have claimed three victories and two draws. The most recent encounter ended in a 4-2 win for Wednesday on January 1, 2025, a result that will give the home side some confidence despite their current struggles.
From a tactical perspective, both teams have shown defensive weaknesses that could lead to an open game. Wednesday’s inability to keep clean sheets, combined with Derby’s tendency to concede away from home, points toward a match where both sides are likely to find the net. The hosts will rely on home support to lift their spirits, while the visitors will look to exploit spaces and maintain their strong first-half record.
Given the defensive records of both sides and their recent scoring patterns, this Championship clash is expected to produce goals at both ends. Sheffield Wednesday’s home struggles and Derby’s inconsistent away defending suggest that neither team is likely to keep a clean sheet. The visitors may hold a slight edge due to their stronger attacking form and better away record, but Wednesday’s determination to end their poor run could make this a competitive encounter.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2