Tools
Sheriff
0 - 5
FT
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Prediction published on Jul 22, 2026 5:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Jul 22, 2026 5:02 AM
The Europa League second qualifying round begins with an intriguing first leg between Sheriff Tiraspol and Maccabi Tel Aviv. Both sides will be eager to take a decisive step toward the next round, knowing that the aggregate loser will drop into the Conference League. Sheriff have been dominant at home recently, winning 10 of their last 11 matches, and will look to use that momentum to their advantage in front of their supporters. Maccabi Tel Aviv, meanwhile, arrive with confidence after a strong domestic Super Cup performance and will aim to carry that form into continental competition.
Sheriff enter this tie in excellent shape, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. Their most recent outing was a 2-3 victory over Petrocub on July 19, underlining their attacking consistency. In the Europa League so far, they have recorded one win and one draw, scoring an average of 0.5 goals per game while keeping a perfect defensive record with no goals conceded. The Moldovan side’s ability to stay composed in key moments has been a major factor in their success, as they have won at half time in their last three matches and avoided defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 fixtures.
At home, Sheriff have been particularly strong, winning at half time in eight of their last thirteen matches and maintaining a solid defensive structure. Their matches often come alive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 22 of their last 24 Europa League games. This pattern suggests that the team tends to grow into matches, using their fitness and tactical discipline to wear down opponents. Despite their attacking efficiency, they have also shown the ability to manage low-scoring affairs, with under 0.5 goals recorded in three of their last ten matches. Sheriff’s combination of defensive resilience and second-half sharpness makes them a formidable opponent, especially when playing in Tiraspol.
Maccabi Tel Aviv come into this clash after a morale-boosting 1-3 win over Hapoel Be’er Sheva on July 16. That result, achieved in the Super Cup, marked a strong start to their season and demonstrated their attacking potential. Over their last five matches, they have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. The Israeli side have been consistent in finding the net, with at least one goal scored in each of their last fifteen matches, a sign of their offensive reliability.
However, their defensive record in the Europa League raises some concerns. They have conceded at least one goal in 20 of their last 21 matches in the competition, and their tendency to start slowly has been evident, losing at half time in seven of their last ten Europa League fixtures. On the other hand, their matches tend to open up after the interval, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 22 of their last 24 Europa League games. Another notable trend is their lack of draws — Maccabi Tel Aviv have not drawn in 26 of their last 27 Europa League matches — which suggests that this encounter is unlikely to end level. Their attacking intent and high-risk approach could make this a lively contest, especially against a Sheriff side that thrives on counterattacks.
This first leg promises to be a fascinating battle between two teams with contrasting rhythms. Sheriff have the advantage of match fitness, having already played several competitive fixtures this season, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are just beginning their campaign. The Moldovan champions will likely aim to control the tempo early, using their home advantage and defensive organization to frustrate their opponents. Their recent record of ten wins in eleven home matches highlights how difficult they are to beat in Tiraspol.
Maccabi Tel Aviv, on the other hand, will rely on their attacking momentum and confidence from their Super Cup triumph. Their ability to score consistently makes them dangerous, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by a Sheriff side that often grows stronger as the match progresses. Given both teams’ trends — frequent second-half goals and open play — this encounter could produce an entertaining and high-tempo contest. Sheriff’s superior match sharpness and home form, however, may give them the edge in this first leg.
Based on the available data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction leans toward a Sheriff Tiraspol win (1). Sheriff’s unbeaten run, strong home record, and defensive solidity make them slight favorites to secure a first-leg advantage. Maccabi Tel Aviv’s attacking form ensures they will pose a threat, but their defensive inconsistencies could prove costly against a well-drilled Sheriff side. Expect a competitive match, with the hosts having around 40% probability of victory, compared to 35% for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 25% for a draw. Both teams are likely to find the net, but Sheriff’s home advantage should see them take a narrow lead into the return leg.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sheriff
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1