Tools
Sigma Olomouc
1 - 1
FT
Lausanne Sport
Prediction published on Feb 17, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Feb 17, 2026 6:03 PM
The UEFA Europa Conference League knockout phase playoffs bring together two ambitious sides as Sigma Olomouc host Lausanne-Sport in the first leg of a decisive tie. Both teams arrive with contrasting momentum but share the same goal — to secure a place in the round of 16. The Czech side, known as the Hanaci, will look to make the most of home advantage, while the Swiss visitors aim to build on their strong group-stage campaign. With both teams showing attacking tendencies in recent matches, this encounter promises to be an open and entertaining affair.
Sigma Olomouc enter this clash after a difficult run of results. Their latest outing ended in a 1-2 defeat against Viktoria Plzeň on February 14, marking their fourth loss in the last five matches across all competitions. Over that period, they have managed just one win, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 2.2. These numbers highlight the defensive fragility that has plagued them in recent weeks.
In the Europa Conference League, Sigma’s record stands at two wins, one draw, and three defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Despite their struggles, the Czech side have shown resilience at home, where under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 16 matches. This trend suggests that while Sigma may not be prolific in attack, they often manage to keep games relatively tight on their own turf.
However, the team’s recent form indicates a need for improvement if they are to challenge Lausanne. Having lost their last two Conference League group-stage matches by identical 2-1 scorelines, Sigma must rediscover their early-season rhythm to avoid falling behind in this two-legged tie.
Lausanne-Sport travel to the Czech Republic after a thrilling 3-3 draw against Servette on February 15. That result extended their winless streak to five competitive matches, comprising three draws and two defeats. Despite the lack of victories, Lausanne have been consistent in front of goal, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game, though their defense has been less reliable, conceding 2.4 on average during that same period.
In the Europa Conference League, Lausanne have been one of the standout performers. Their record of seven wins, three draws, and only two losses reflects a well-balanced side capable of competing at a high level. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per match in the competition, underlining their defensive discipline and attacking efficiency. Moreover, the Swiss side have been involved in lively away fixtures, with over 7.5 corners taken in 19 of their last 20 away games and over 8.5 corners in 18 of those. This suggests a dynamic style of play that often leads to end-to-end action.
Another key strength for Lausanne is their consistency in the first half — they have avoided trailing at halftime in 25 of their last 27 matches. This resilience could prove crucial in a tie where away goals and early momentum might make the difference.
This first leg promises to be a fascinating tactical battle between two sides with different strengths. Sigma Olomouc will rely on their home support and defensive organization to contain Lausanne’s attacking threat. Their recent home record suggests a cautious approach, with most of their matches producing fewer than four goals. However, their inability to keep clean sheets in recent weeks could be a concern.
Lausanne-Sport, on the other hand, have shown they can score against strong opposition but must tighten up defensively if they are to take control of the tie. Their attacking numbers in the Conference League are impressive, and their ability to create chances from wide areas and set pieces could trouble Sigma’s backline. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns — Sigma averaging over one goal per game in Europe and Lausanne maintaining a strong offensive output — goals at both ends seem likely.
Historically, matches between teams of similar profiles in this stage of the competition tend to be closely contested, with the first leg often setting the tone for the return fixture. Sigma’s need to bounce back from poor domestic form contrasts with Lausanne’s desire to end their winless run, creating a scenario where both sides will push for a positive result.
Based on the available data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this match is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a probability of 52%. Both sides have shown attacking potential but also defensive vulnerabilities, making this outcome the most likely scenario for the first leg of this Conference League playoff tie.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sigma Olomouc
Lausanne Sport
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1