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Prediction published on Sep 13, 2026 4:33 AM by Dario in Sweden - Allsvenskan | Modified on Sep 13, 2026 4:33 AM
Sirius welcome Degerfors to Studenternas IP in Uppsala for an important Allsvenskan fixture on Monday, September 14, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 local time. Both teams enter the contest after victories on September 5, although their objectives are very different. Sirius lead the standings after 20 matches, while Degerfors occupy 14th place. The hosts are seeking to reinforce their position at the top, whereas the visitors need further points as they attempt to move away from the relegation region. Recent numbers suggest that goals could shape the contest: Sirius have scored regularly throughout the season but have also conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game, while Degerfors have allowed at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 away matches.
Sirius returned to winning ways with a 1-0 victory away to Västerås SK on September 5. That result ended a sequence of four league matches without a win, including three consecutive defeats. Two of those losses came without Sirius finding the net, making the clean-sheet success against Västerås SK particularly valuable before this home fixture.
The league leaders have recorded 14 wins, three draws and three defeats during the Allsvenskan season. Their attacking output has been impressive, averaging 2.4 goals per match, although an average of 1.4 conceded shows that their games have not always been controlled defensively. Across their latest five fixtures, Sirius registered two wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.6 per game.
Home form has recently been less convincing, with Sirius failing to win any of their last three matches on their own ground. Even so, their broader scoring record provides clear encouragement. They have scored at least once in 31 of their last 33 Allsvenskan matches and in 37 of their last 40 games across all competitions covered by the supplied statistics. In addition, 29 of their previous 31 league fixtures produced more than 1.5 total goals.
The opening half could be especially significant for the home side. At least one first-half goal has been recorded in each of the last 16 Allsvenskan home matches involving Sirius, as well as in their last 10 home fixtures overall. Sirius have also been ahead at half-time in 12 of their previous 16 home league games and in 14 of their last 19 home matches. Those trends indicate that a fast start may be central to their approach against an opponent that has frequently trailed at the interval.
Degerfors also arrive with renewed confidence after beating Halmstad 2-0 on September 5. The victory brought an end to back-to-back 2-0 defeats against Elfsborg and Brommapojkarna. Three of their five league victories this season have come during their latest five-match stretch, underlining a notable improvement in results at a crucial stage of the campaign.
The visitors have taken three wins and suffered two defeats across their last five games, with no draws. During that sequence, they averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their full-season numbers are more modest: five victories, four draws and 11 losses, accompanied by averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded. This contrast highlights how their recent run has been stronger than their overall Allsvenskan record.
Degerfors face a difficult assignment away from home. They have conceded in 19 of their last 20 away matches, a record that will be tested by one of the league's most consistent scoring teams. More than 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 20 away fixtures and in all of their previous 17 Allsvenskan away games. The second half has also repeatedly delivered scoring action, with at least one goal after the interval in their last 16 away matches and their last 14 league trips.
However, the first-half data presents a more cautious picture for Degerfors. Their last 12 away league matches have all produced fewer than 1.5 first-half goals, while at least one team failed to score before the break in 31 of their previous 32 games. Degerfors have been behind at half-time in 10 of their last 15 Allsvenskan fixtures and in six of their previous 10 league matches away from home. Avoiding another slow start will therefore be important if they are to repeat the 3-0 victory recorded in the most recent meeting on April 4, 2026.
The contrast between the teams is clear. Sirius hold first place and possess a strong season record, while Degerfors sit 14th despite winning three of their last five matches. The available win probabilities give Sirius a 58% chance of victory, compared with 21% for both the draw and a Degerfors win. Nevertheless, recent home difficulties for Sirius and the visitors' improved form mean the leaders cannot treat this as a straightforward fixture.
Goals remain the strongest statistical theme. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 64%, while both teams scoring is rated at 61%. Sirius have found the net in the overwhelming majority of their recent league games, but their latest five-match average of 1.6 goals conceded leaves room for Degerfors to contribute. At the other end, the visitors' run of conceding in 19 of 20 away fixtures gives the home attack a clear opportunity.
The head-to-head summary is also competitive, with Sirius recording two wins, two draws and one defeat, alongside averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Degerfors won the latest encounter 3-0, while both teams scored in three of the previous four meetings referenced in the match information. Sirius may try to impose themselves early, given their strong half-time record at home, but Degerfors' repeated second-half goal trend suggests that the contest could remain active after the interval.
Overall, Sirius carry the stronger season profile and home advantage, while Degerfors bring improved short-term form and the confidence of winning the latest head-to-head meeting. The leaders' reliable scoring record, combined with their lack of a home clean sheet in five games and Degerfors scoring in three of their last five outings, supports the prospect of chances at both ends.
Sirius vs Degerfors prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sirius
Degerfors
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1