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Prediction published on Oct 27, 2026 5:33 AM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Oct 27, 2026 5:33 AM
SJ Earthquakes host Colorado Rapids at PayPal Park in San Jose on October 29, with the Major League Soccer match scheduled for 02:30 local time. San Jose are seeking a strong finish to the regular season, but they have gone four matches without a win and arrive after a 3-0 defeat to Dallas. Colorado have just beaten Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0, although seven consecutive away defeats make this a difficult trip. The contrast between the Rapids’ latest result and their away record adds intrigue to a fixture whose recent meetings have produced both close scores and high-scoring games.
SJ Earthquakes have recorded one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.4 per game. Their defeat to Dallas on October 25 extended their winless run to four. Across the Major League Soccer season, their record stands at 13 wins, nine draws and nine defeats, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.
Home matches have offered plenty to assess beyond the final score. There has been at least one first-half goal in each of San Jose’s last 18 home league games, yet the Earthquakes have trailed at half-time in seven of their last 11 home league fixtures. That combination points to first halves in which goals have been frequent but San Jose have not always been the side to strike first.
The recent home meetings with Colorado also provide a relevant attacking reference: two of the Rapids’ last three visits to face the Earthquakes have ended with more than 2.5 total goals. San Jose’s season averages make goals at both ends a reasonable focus for this preview, though their most recent match against Colorado finished 1-1 on October 11.
Colorado Rapids come in with a 1-0 victory over Vancouver Whitecaps on October 25. Like their hosts, they have taken one win, three draws and one defeat from their last five matches. Over that stretch, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their full league record is 12 wins, six draws and 13 defeats, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match on average.
The challenge for Colorado is to carry their latest winning result into an away fixture. They have lost on each of their last seven trips, a sharp contrast with their record on their two most recent visits to San Jose: the Rapids won both of those meetings. Those two victories each featured more than 2.5 total goals, and Colorado scored five goals across the pair of matches.
Colorado have also led at half-time in six of their last ten Major League Soccer matches. That figure is not an away-only record, but it is worth considering alongside San Jose’s recent home half-time results. The Rapids’ immediate form shows they can arrive after a win; their sequence of away defeats shows why repeating that result here is far from straightforward.
There is little separation in the supplied five-match records: both teams have posted one win, three draws and one defeat. San Jose’s broader season numbers favor their scoring output, while Colorado’s recent away record raises questions about their ability to turn a positive result against Vancouver into another victory. The listed win probabilities give the Earthquakes 55%, the draw 24% and the Rapids 22%.
The head-to-head record is balanced over five matches, with two San Jose wins, one draw and two Colorado wins. Each side has averaged 1.4 goals scored in those meetings, while three of the five have finished with more than 2.5 goals. The 1-1 draw on October 11 is a reminder that a lower-scoring game remains possible, but Colorado’s two recent wins on this ground and the goals in those visits keep the higher-goal outcome in view.
For this Major League Soccer match preview, the main question is whether the recent scoring pattern in this fixture continues. San Jose’s season averages, Colorado’s five goals across their last two visits, and the three over-2.5 results in the last five head-to-head meetings all support that possibility. It is not an uninterrupted trend, particularly after the teams’ latest 1-1 draw, but it is the clearest thread connecting the available match statistics.
SJ Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
SJ Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2